February 2017

04Feb

Risk of Disability, Old Age and Death: Pension Sustainability in Colombia

By Sergio Clavijo, Alejandro Vera Sandoval, David Malagón, Laura Clavijo, Andrea Ríos Serna, Ekaterina Cuellar & Nelson Vera This document concludes that the sustainability of the RPM (Pay-as-you-go, defined benefits public regime) looks fragile and is threatened by massive transfers from the RAIS (defined contributions private regime) to the RPM. The fiscal deficit of the RPM could be rising from 140% of GDP (in NPV) to 228% of GDP during the next three decades on account of the migration of...

February 4, 2017
Aging, Articles, System Sustainability,
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04Feb

Tailored Aid for a Tailored Age?

By David Wheeler In this short essay, senior fellow David Wheeler compares the world’s foreign assistance architecture to how the rest of the world operates in the digital age. He suggests that multilateral and bilateral transactions from one behemoth to another (B2B) may be stuck in the past now that technology can and should create more person-to-person (P2P) foreign aid programs. The foreign assistance world, he argues, should learn from the worlds of business, entertainment, and interpersonal communications, which are fragmenting...

February 4, 2017
Aging, Articles
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04Feb

The Effect of Workplace Pensions on Household Saving: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Taiwan

By Tzu-Ting Yang Population aging causes financial imbalance in pay-as-you-go public pension programs.To remedy this problem while ensuring the adequacy of retirement savings for employees, many countries complement or substitute for public pensions by regulating workplace pensions. This paper exploits a pension reform in Taiwan that has mandated, since 2005, that all private-sector employers contribute at least 6% of wages to employees' individual pension accounts monthly. I use the workers in the unaffected sector as a comparison group and employ...

February 4, 2017
Aging, Articles, Labor Market, Regulation,
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04Feb

Sustainability of Pension Systems in Europe – The Demographic Challenge

By Chris Daykin Fiscal sustainability of pensions is a serious issue in Europe because of the ageing of the population but there is also concern that reformed pensions may not be adequate. Actuaries have always been seen as major players in employer-sponsored pension schemes and insured pensions but have often not been very visible in commenting on public policy issues concerning the pension system as a whole. This article introduces the work being done by the Actuarial Association of Europe...

February 4, 2017
Aging, Articles, Labor Market,
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04Feb

Older Peoples’ Willingness to Delay Social Security Claiming

By Raimond Maurer & Olivia S. Mitchell We have designed and fielded an experimental module in the 2014 HRS which seeks to measure older persons’ willingness to voluntarily defer claiming of Social Security benefits. In addition, we evaluate the stated willingness of older individuals to work longer, depending on the Social Security incentives offered to delay claiming their benefits. Our project extends previous work by analyzing the results from our HRS module and comparing findings from other data sources which...

February 4, 2017
Aging, Articles, Labor Market
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04Feb

Workplace-Linked Pensions for an Aging Demographic

By Olivia S. Mitchell & John Piggott Pensions and population aging intersect in two ways. First, demographic change threatens the sustainability of traditional pay-as-you-go social security pensions, leaving workplace-linked pensions with a greater role in retirement provision. Second, as the Baby Boom generation enters retirement, new challenges arise around its retirement support. This chapter reviews some of the implications of population aging for workplace pensions in this new environment, outlines market considerations important for workplace-related pension design for the future,...

February 4, 2017
Aging, Articles, Labor Market, Pension design, , , ,
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04Feb

Adequacy (2) : Pension entitlements of recent retirees

By Edward Whitehouse & Asta Zviniene This note discusses how expected benefit levels can be assessed. The note points out the measurement of current benefit levels that are observable: they do not depend on any assumptions about the future. However, they do depend on past contribution patterns, macroeconomic developments and parameters and rules of the pension system rules that, in many cases, no longer apply today. This briefing discusses the measurement of empirical average pension levels, minimum pensions and the...

February 4, 2017
Adequacy, Aging, Articles,
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04Feb

Lessons for an Aging Society: The Political Sustainability of Social Security Systems

By Vincenzo Galasso & Paola Profeta What is the future of social security systems in OECD countries? In our view, the answer belongs to the realm of politics. We evaluate how political constraints shape the social security system in six countries - France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the UK and the US - under population aging. Two main aspects of the aging process are relevant to the analysis. First, the increase in the dependency ratio - the ratio of retirees to...

February 4, 2017
Aging, Articles, Labor Market, ,
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03Feb

Putting the Pension Back in 401(k) Plans: Optimal versus Default Longevity Income Annuities

By Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer & Olivia S. Mitchell Most defined contribution pension plans pay benefits as lump sums, yet the US Treasury has recently encouraged firms to protect retirees from outliving their assets by converting a portion of their plan balances into longevity income annuities (LIA). These are deferred annuities which initiate payouts not later than age 85 and continue for life, and they provide an effective way to hedge systematic (individual) longevity risk for a relatively low price. Using...

February 3, 2017
Aging, Articles, Labor Market, Pension design
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03Feb

Longevity Risk and Private Pensions

By Pablo Antolin This paper examines how uncertainty regarding future mortality and life expectancy outcomes, i.e. longevity risk, affects employer-provided defined benefit (DB) private pension plans liabilities. The paper argues that to assess uncertainty and associated risks adequately, a stochastic approach to model mortality and life expectancy is preferable because it permits to attach probabilities to different forecasts. In this regard, the paper provides the results of estimating the Lee-Carter model for several OECD countries. Furthermore, it conveys the uncertainty...

February 3, 2017
Aging, Articles, Investing, ,
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