October 2023

US Public Pension Funding Poised to Rebound in 2023 Reporting

The aggregate funded ratio for U.S. state and local retirement systems is expected to improve to 78.8% in fiscal 2023 from 75.0% in fiscal 2022 when final numbers are released, according to Equable Institute’s mid-year update to its State of Pensions 2023 report, as unfunded liabilities are forecast to have declined an estimated $200 billion to $1.39 trillion over the year. The funding growth is a turnaround from the previous fiscal year, when the national average funded ratio for U.S. state and...

US. Corporate pension funded status drops

The average corporate pension funded status dipped to 104% in September from 104.4% the previous month, based on data tracked by NISA Investment Advisors for its Pension Surplus Risk index. In July, the funded status was 105.4%. NISA's PSRX, which measures the funded status volatility of U.S. corporate pension plans, rose to 6.9% in September. It was the third consecutive monthly increase. The PSRX measures a one standard deviation change in the funded status over a year. Hence, there is about...

US Corporate Pension Funding Rises Slightly in September

U.S. corporate pension funding status increased in September, despite a decline in equities. September’s funding status was a return to the norm, following an August that saw pension funding decline for the first time this year.  Insight Investment found that pension funding status improved by one percentage point in August, to 107.5% from 106.5%. Equity losses were offset by a roughly 40 bps increase in discount rates, causing liabilities to decline faster than assets. Assets decreased by 4.5% in September,...

U.S. corporate pension funding rises in September on falling liabilities

U.S. corporate pension plan funding ratios increased in September despite a second straight month of negative market returns thanks to falling liability values, according to three new reports. Wilshire Advisors estimated the aggregate funding ratio of U.S. corporate plans increased 0.7 percentage points during the month to 105.3% as of Sept. 30. The increase was driven by the largest drop in liability values since September 2022 that resulted from the continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, said Ned McGuire, managing director...

UK. DB funding levels remain buoyant despite volatility

Pension scheme trustees have been urged to take the time to review their endgame options, after industry analysis revealed that UK defined benefit (DB) funding levels have continued to improve, despite ongoing volatility. Analysis from XPS Pensions found that, despite the Bank of England holding interest rates steady for the first time since late 2021, the aggregate surplus of UK DB pension schemes stood at around £169bn at the end of September. Aggregate scheme assets were also down over the month...

September 2023

US Corporate Pensions at Healthiest Level in a Decade, Aon Data Shows

Pension plans for the largest U.S. companies are at their healthiest in over a decade, according to financial services firm Aon (NYSE:AON). The average pension "funded ratio" for public companies in the S&P 500 stock index was 102% as of last Thursday, marking the highest level since at least the end of 2011 when the ratio stood at around 78%. The funded ratio is a measure of a pension's financial health, comparing a company's pension assets against its liabilities. Essentially,...

US Corporate Pension Funding Levels Dropped in August

US. corporate pension funding levels fell last month, matching a drop in global equities, according to analysts.The August report from LGIM America’s Pension Solutions Monitor estimated that the average U.S. corporate funding ratio decreased to 103.6% through August from 104.9% at the end of July.Global equities declined 2.8%, with the S&P 500 decreasing 1.6%. Portfolios in plans with a 50/50 allocation declined 2.5%, while liabilities declined 1.4%. The decrease in assets outpaced the decline in liabilities, leading to lower...

UK. Triple lock could add £45bn a year to state pensions bill by 2050, IFS says

Maintaining the triple lock on state pensions could add as much as £45bn a year to the welfare bill by 2050, putting “insurmountable pressure” on the government to increase the minimum retirement age, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies. In a report published ahead of the release next week of official data for earnings growth, which will be used to set the annual increase in pensions, the IFS estimates spending on retirees could rise by a further £2bn from...

U.S. corporate pension plan funding ratios down slightly in August

U.S. corporate pension plan funding ratios dipped slightly in August, but they still remain well above 100%, according to three new reports. Legal & General Investment Management America estimated the average funding ratio of the typical U.S. corporate pension plan fell to 103.6% as of Aug. 31 from 104.9% a month earlier. In its latest monthly Pension Solutions Monitor, LGIMA said the estimated average funding ratio rose despite liability values dropping, because both global and domestic equities suffered weak performance during August. The...

August 2023

Public Employee Pensions and Municipal Insolvency

By Sean Myers  This paper studies how municipal governments jointly manage spending, credit market borrowing, and public employee pensions. I model governments as levered investors who must meet non-defaultable pension obligations and may value government spending more than citizens. I quantify the model using California city-level data, including a new record of fiscal emergencies, tax increases required to maintain essential services. After the financial crisis depleted pension funds, cities engaged in excessive risk-taking: the fiscal emergency option encouraged gambling for...