September 2017

Equity Solvency Capital Requirements: What Institutional Regulation Can Learn from Private Investor Regulation

By David Blitz, Winfried G. Hallerbach, Laurens Swinkels & Pim van Vliet (Robeco Asset Management) Solvency II has one standard equity solvency capital requirement for type 1 or developed market stocks (39 percent) and one for type 2 or emerging market stocks (49 percent). As such, differences in financial economic risk of stock portfolios within developed or emerging markets do not influence solvency requirements. This encourages risk-seeking behavior by insurance companies, and could sustain or even create structural mispricing in...

Debt and Financial Vulnerability on the Verge of Retirement

By Annamaria Lusardi, Olivia S. Mitchell & Noemi Oggero We analyze older individuals’ debt and financial vulnerability using data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and the National Financial Capability Study (NFCS). Specifically, in the HRS we examine three different cohorts (individuals age 56–61) in 1992, 2004, and 2010 to evaluate cross-cohort changes in debt over time. We also use two waves of the NFCS (2012 and 2015) to gain additional insights into debt management and older individuals’ capacity...

August 2017

Self-Awareness, Financial Advice and Retirement Savings Decisions

By Anders Anderson (Swedish House of Finance) & David T. Robinson (Fuqua School of Business,) Using a financial literacy survey of Swedish pension investors matched to actual retirement savings decisions, we break respondents into three groups: those who are financially literate, those who mistakenly believe they are financially literate, and those who know that they are not. Investors with mistaken beliefs are more likely to work with mass-market advisors who steer them into high-fee funds. They underperform as a result....

The State of Public Pension Funding: Are Government Employee Plans Back on Track?

By Andrew G. Biggs (American Enterprise Institute) The public-sector pension industry is claiming a comeback from losses suffered during the Great Recession. But this recovery is greatly exaggerated: even years past the end of the recession, most pension sponsors are unable to their full annual contributions, and pensions are taking as much investment risk as ever. The first step to effective pension reforms is an honest, accurate view of the costs and risks that public plans impose on government budgets...

Do Older Americans Have More Income Than We Think?

By Charles Adam Bee & Joshua W Mitchell (US Census Bureau) The Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement (CPS ASEC) is the source of the nation’s official household income and poverty statistics. In 2012, the CPS ASEC showed that median household income was $33,800 for householders aged 65 and over and the poverty rate was 9.1 percent for persons aged 65 and over. When we instead use an extensive array of administrative income records linked to the same...

Ethical, Environmental, Social and Governance-Oriented Investments

By Julia M. Puaschunder (Harvard) In the aftermath of the 2008/9 World Great Recession, ethical investing blossomed as opportunity to imbue trust in the economy. The crisis aftermath offered invaluable opportunities to redefine social investment to strengthen a more sustained, inclusive and equitable society. The 2015 incepted Sustainable Development Goals spearheaded the idea of financing societal advancement. Ethical, Environmental, Social and Governance-oriented Investments are key to sustainable prosperity. In the wake of stakeholder activism and based on intrinsic socio-psychological motives,...

Whale Watching on the Trading Floor: Organizational Misbehaviour, Collusive Rogue Trading, and Corporate Culture Deficits in the Investment Banking Industry

By Hagen Rafeld & Peter N. Posch (TU Dortmund University); Sebastian G Fritz-Morgenthal (Frankfurt School of Finance and Management) Recent history reveals a series of rogue traders, jeopardizing their employer’s assets and reputation. There have been a number of instances of unauthorized acting in concert between traders, their supervisors, and/or firm’s senior management, resulting in collusive rogue trading (CRT). In the likes of the Libor manipulation by jointly several traders from major investment banks, CRT cannot be seen only in relation...

An Evaluation of the Electronic Pension Payment System in Tajikistan

By Ruben Barreto & Natalie Chun (Asian Development Bank) Modernizing government-to-person (G2P) pension payments from traditional cash-based to modern electronic-based delivery systems can improve outcomes for pensioners, government entities, and financial services providers. Cash operations, though convenient in some circumstances, involve manual handling procedures in the distribution process that entail large overhead expenses and significant operational risks. These are highly susceptible to fraud and leakages due to difficulties in appropriately reconciling payments. However, experience has shown that implementing electronic-based G2P payments...

The Macroeconomic Impact of Fertility Changes in an Aging Population

By Neha Bairoliya, Ray Miller (Harvard University) & Akshar Saxena (Harvard University - T.H. Chan School of Public Health) We assess the impact of continued low fertility in China, versus a rebound in fertility due to the relaxation of the one child policy, on demographic and macroeconomic outcomes in a dynamic general equilibrium framework. We use a rich model of human capital investment, public health insurance, pensions, private savings, and intra-family transfers to support the consumption of young and elderly...

A Lost Generation but Renewed Hope: Oregon’s Pension Crisis and the Road to Reform

By Scott Andrew Shepard (Independent) Like a number of other states, Oregon has been hampered in its pension reform efforts since 1996 by its state supreme court’s embrace of the “California Rule,” a doctrine arising, in Oregon’s case, from a misunderstanding of federal Contract Clause precedent. Under the misreading, states such as Oregon have been restricted from reducing pension benefits for government employees once they have been hired, even for work that lies in the future and may not be...