July 2026

The China Imbalance Residual: A Demographic Decomposition

By Brian Peters The Chinese current-account surplus has averaged approximately 2 percent of GDP since 2015, declining from a 2007 peak near 10 percent yet remaining far above what its income level and demographic structure would predict in a global panel. We estimate this gap as the residual against the income-conditional demographic baseline fitted on 140 countries with China held out. The residual averages +5 to +12 percentage points of GDP across four sub-periods of 2000-2024, peaks at +14.3 pp...

Optimizing Retirement Financial Strategies: Integrating Annuities, Defined Contribution Plans, and Long-Term Care Costs

By Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer, Olivia S. Mitchell, Julius Odenbreit Nursing home costs in the United States now exceed $100,000 per year, and government assistance programs such as Medicaid help out only when retirees are largely destitute. Moreover, health shocks driving the need for such care can arise suddenly in old age, are frequently permanent in nature, and can be associated with declining mental and physical abilities. These facts raise the important question of how households can best prepare to...

May 2026

Studying the Psychological and Financial Aspects of Retirement Planning

By Sneha Mishra, Manyata Dua, Harji singh Malhotra & Dhawal Agrawal Social and economic changes associated with retirement influence the lives of both individuals and families. The authors conduct research to study retirement planning obstacles by evaluating how financial literacy combines with psychological aspects together with population-based  variables. A critical challenge emerges from the retirement consumption problem which causes  household spending to decline when the main breadwinner exits the workforce. Financial  preparedness for retirement is examined through the research of...

April 2026

Gambling for Retirement: The Economics of Savings Lotteries

By Jared Gars, Justin Holz, Rodemeier & Juan Miguel Villa Governments frequently use lottery-like incentives to encourage socially desirable behavior ("Pigouvian lotteries"). We study lotteries that encourage retirement savings in a nationwide field experiment with over 380,000 participants in Colombia's public pension system. Lotteries increase savings during the qualification period, but this effect is almost entirely offset by subsequent declines in savings, as workers strategically shift the timing of deposits. Lotteries also crowd out demand for valuable life and disability...

February 2026

The Shift from Traditional Pensions to 401(k)s: Retirement Risks and the Timing of Retirement

By Rosemary Kaiser, Xiaohui sun & Yang Xuan U.S. retirement plans have shifted sharply from defined benefit to defined contribution setups. How has this change affected retirement and savings behavior? We develop a quantitative life-cycle model where retirement plans differ in their exposure to longevity and investment risk. Holding the present-value cost of benefits fixed, these differences generate distinct savings and retirement incentives across plan types. The model replicates observed differences in savings and retirement behavior and implies that the...

November 2025

Retirement Planning among Female Workforce in Malaysia and China

By Jing Yuan, Kim Mee Chong, Ivy Siaw Hung Hii & Hao Lun Li A phenomenon has emerged whereby the life expectancy of women is 74.2 years, and men's is 69.8 years. Hence, it is crucial to encourage early retirement planning among women.  This study aims to explore the factors that influence retirement planning awareness and readiness among women in Malaysia and China. A self-administered online questionnaire was completed by 100 Malaysians and 200 Chinese. Using IBM SPSS and SmartPLS,...

August 2025

Financial Literacy and Educator Behaviour: Insights from a Local Municipality in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

By Anrusha Bhana & Nkosinathi Princ Jali There is a substantial lack of financial literacy among educators, especially in emerging economies, which can influence personal and professional financial behavior. This study assessed whether financial literacy challenges influence high school educators' financial decision-making and behavior. An empirical study employing quantitative methodology assessed the lifestyle spending among high school educators and identified specific areas of financial literacy challenges and limitations. Data was collected randomly from a sample size of 246 out of...

Financial regret at older ages and longevity awareness

By Abigail Hurwitz & Olivia S. Mitchell To investigate financial regret among older Americans, we conduct a controlled experiment in the Health and Retirement Study. We document that many older people regret not having bought longevity protection or long-term care insurance, as well as having retired and claimed social security benefits too early. This is especially true for women, Black, and less wealthy older individuals. Additionally, we find that informing participants about objective survival probabilities boosts regret by 43% regarding not...

July 2025

Roadmap for Retirement: The Case for a National Pension Dashboard

By Kathryn Bush Retirement planning is getting harder for Canadians as more savings shift to definedcontribution plans, and account information is scattered across institutions. Given current financial literacy levels in Canada, many people struggle to understand what they'll have to live on in retirement. A pension dashboard could help by bringing all their retirement savings and benefits into one place. A pension dashboard is a government or government-sanctioned online tool that shows individuals all their retirement income sources-including government benefits,...

June 2025

Retired for how long? Worker expectations for how long they’ll live in retirement

By Paul J. Yakoboski,  Annamaria Lusardi & Andrea Sticha The influence of perceptions is noteworthy given that one-third of adults underestimate general life expectancy among 65-year-olds (and an additional one-quarter respond “don’t know” when asked). Workers who expect relatively short lifespans due to misperceptions about general life expectancy are at risk of accumulating inadequate financial resources for retirement. Their retirement planning horizon is “too short.” In addition, those with shorter expected lifespans appear less likely to plan and save for retirement. For example, about...