September 2020

15Sep

(Mis)Allocation Effects of an Overpaid Public Sector

By Tiago Cavalcanti, Marcelo Rodrigues Santos There is a large body of evidence showing that for many countries the structure of wages and pensions and the labor law legislation are different for public and private employees. Such differences affect the occupational choice of agents and might generate some type of misallocation. We develop a life-cycle model with endogenous occupational choice and heterogeneous agents to study the implications of an overpaid public sector. The model is estimated to be consistent...

September 15, 2020
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August 2020

12Aug

Fitch Ratings recommendations for Brazil’s Pension Deductible Loan Regulation: Credit Neutral

Changes approved by the Brazilian Social Security National Council (Conselho Nacional de Previdencia Social, CNPS) to the pensioner deductible loan regulation in response to the economic impacts of the coronavirus pandemic are expected to be Credit Neutral for Fitch's rated portfolio of pension deductible loan (PDL) securitizations, says Fitch Ratings. Proposed changes, which seek to increase availability of credit in the economy, consider (i) increasing the maximum credit limit to 1.6x (from 1.4x) of the obligor's monthly income for...

August 12, 2020
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May 2020
15May

Selfies can help Brazil create a super supplementary pension

By Arun Muralidhar, Robert C. Merton, Alexandre Vitorino Brazilian policy makers and researchers have discussed the introduction of a complementary pension system to complement the Regime Geral de Previdência Social (RGPS), specially for those that want a retirement income above the RGPS ceiling. This article first recommends that the complementary system must be SUPER (Simple, Universal, Portable, Efficient with low cost and Robust Regulatation). It then proposes the adoption of a financial innovation called SeLFIES (Standard-of-Living, Forward-starting, Income-only Securities),...

May 15, 2020
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October 2019

23Oct

Brazil Pension Reform Clears Congress, Stocks Hit New Highs

Brazil's Senate on Tuesday approved a sweeping overhaul of the country's pension system to stabilize public finances and restore business confidence, setting up President Jair Bolsonaro to sign his keystone economic proposal into law. Read also Japan. No excuse for inaction on pension reforms The Senate approved the main text of the landmark pension reform by a margin of 60-19 in a late Tuesday session before moving on to consider amendments. Read also Irish pensions need urgent reform, industry specialist...

October 23, 2019
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04Oct

Why the Future of Brazil’s Economy Rides on Pensions

Latin America’s largest economy, Brazil, is closer than ever to overhauling its costly pension system. That’s been the focus of the first sustained legislative drive by President Jair Bolsonaro, his economic team and allies. Efforts to muster support for a major reform failed under previous administrations. Now, Brazil’s Senate is set to approve changes that could boost the nation’s public finances and open the door to a virtuous cycle of expansion. 1. Why is pension reform so important? Brazil’s pension...

October 4, 2019
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02Oct

Brazil Senate approves pension reform in first-round vote

Brazil’s Senate approved the main text of a pension reform bill in a first-round vote on Tuesday, clearing another key hurdle for the government’s bid to narrow its massive budget gap. The main text passed with a vote of 56 in favor - a comfortable margin above the 49 votes required - with 19 opposed and one abstention. Only 76 of 81 senators were present. The Senate is expected to consider amendments to the bill on Wednesday before it...

October 2, 2019
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September 2019

19Sep

Brazil’s Petros Pension Aims to Increase Private Equity Investment in 2020

One of the largest state-run pension funds in Brazil could gradually resume investing in private equity next year, following a period of cutting back its exposure to the asset class and changes in the rules governing the investment vehicles themselves. “It’s a move that will happen in slow motion,” Alexandre Mathias, chief investment officer of the employee pension fund at state-run oil giant Petróleo Brasileiro SA, or Petrobras, said of the plan to resume making fresh investments in the...

September 19, 2019
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04Sep

Giant Norway pension fund weighs Brazil divestment over Amazon deforestation

KLP, Norway’s largest pension fund, with over US$80 billion in assets, is saying it may divest from transnational commodities traders operating in Brazil such as Archer Daniels Midland (ADM), Bunge and Cargill, if they work with producers who contribute to deforestation. KLP has $50 million in shares and loans with the firms. KLP is also reaching out to other investors to lobby them to use their financial influence to curb Amazon deforestation via supply chains. On August 28, Nordea,...

September 4, 2019
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August 2019

09Aug

Brazilian Hedge Funds Are Betting Big on Stocks

Brazil’s top hedge fund managers are increasing bets that the stock market will be the best place to profit from the government’s expanding reform agenda. Firms including Verde Asset Management, which has almost 40 billion reais ($10.1 billion) under management, and Bahia Asset Management increased their holdings of local equities after the pension system overhaul cleared its biggest hurdle in the lower house last month. BlueLine Asset Management, which recently launched its first fund, is favoring Brazilian shares over...

August 9, 2019
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July 2019

19Jul

Brazil’s Lower House Delays Pension Reform Vote, Irking Investors

Brazil’s lower house has delayed its second vote on pension reform, and the Senate is already dragging out its first of two votes, creating investor woes as the stock market dipped. Things were looking good last week as the Chamber of Deputies approved the overhaul in its first of two voting rounds with expectations that lawmakers would conclude their task before the house broke for its July 18-31 recess. But too many deputies took vacation early, so the lawmakers...

July 19, 2019
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