December 2019

Danish Pension Assets Swell to $680 Billion as Funds Add Risk

Denmark’s pension industry has grown to more than double the country’s gross domestic product after adding about $100 billion this year alone. “The first nine months of 2019 saw considerable growth in the companies’ balance sheets as a result of substantial returns on pension wealth,” the central bank said on Tuesday. That followed a substantial increase in holdings of asset classes outside the traditional bond and stock allocations. Pension funds have been shifting their allocation to alternative assets as...

Latin American AuM will more than double by 2025: PwC report

Despite a number of Latin American countries facing political and economic uncertainty, the long term growth prospects for the asset and wealth management industry remain strong across the continent according to a report published today by PwC and Sura Investment Management. The report, titled Asset and Wealth Management Revolution: Latin America's flourishing opportunities, finds that, despite the challenges faced by the region, assets have grown by 7.9% compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) since 2015 to reach $2.4trn in 2018....

UK. FTSE 350 pension deficit falls as election nears

The accounting deficit of defined benefit (DB) pension schemes has fallen for the UK’s 350 largest listed companies as the country prepares to go to the polls on December 12.At the end of October, the deficit stood at £41 billion (€48.1 billion). By the end of November, it had dropped to £38 billion, according to Mercer’s pension risk survey. Charles Cowling, partner at Mercer, said: “The political turmoil in the UK is likely to last beyond the general election, causing...

US. Connecticut to stop investing pension money in gun manufacturers

Connecticut's treasurer, who oversees $37 billion in public pension funds, announced plans Tuesday to divest $30 million worth of shares in civilian firearm manufacturers while banning similar future investments and creating incentives for banks and financial institutions to enact gun-related policies when lending to companies. If approved by an advisory board, it will mark the first time Connecticut has taken the step of divesting shares in firearm-related companies since the 2012 Sandy Hook Elementary School shooting in Newtown that...

Canadian Pensions Acquire Stake in Mexican Construction Firm

The Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) and Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan have agreed to acquire stakes in Mexican construction engineering company Impulsora del Desarrollo y el Empleo en América Latina (IDEAL). Under the terms of the deal, CPPIB and Ontario Teachers’ will launch a tender offer on the Mexican stock exchange for shares in IDEAL at 43.96 pesos ($2.25) per share. CPPIB will come away with a 23.7% stake in IDEAL, while Ontario Teachers will own 16.3% of...

Major pension plans join investor group pumping $229M into fintech fund

The Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec and the Public Sector Pension Investment Board (PSP) are among a group of at least 14 investors pumping $229 million into an international fintech fund run by Portag3 Ventures, an early-stage investor established by companies under the umbrella of the Desmarais family’s Power Corp. The disclosed institutional and strategic investors committing the new funds also include insurance companies and financial institutions from Canada, France, Israel and the United States. Among them...

November 2019

Will Negative Rates Finally Kill Pensions?

Economists once thought that negative interest rates were impossible. Not only are they possible, but they may hasten the end of a dying business practice. Read also Negative Rates Can Do a Lot More Damage Yet: Nordic Warning I have written in this space before about the repercussions of other countries issuing bonds with negative yields. The past decade has conclusively proved that negative interest rates are not only possible but likely to remain part of the international...

February 2017

Longevity Risk and Private Pensions

By Pablo Antolin This paper examines how uncertainty regarding future mortality and life expectancy outcomes, i.e. longevity risk, affects employer-provided defined benefit (DB) private pension plans liabilities. The paper argues that to assess uncertainty and associated risks adequately, a stochastic approach to model mortality and life expectancy is preferable because it permits to attach probabilities to different forecasts. In this regard, the paper provides the results of estimating the Lee-Carter model for several OECD countries. Furthermore, it conveys the uncertainty...

Risky Choices: Simulating Public Pension Funding Stress with Realistic Shocks

By James Farrell, Daniel Shoag State and local government pension funds in the United States collectively manage a very large and diverse pool of assets to meet the even large sum of accrued liabilities. Recent research has emphasized that widely-used accounting practices, like matching discount rates to expected asset returns, understate the market value of these liabilities. Less work has explored the risks inherent in existing diverse set asset allocations, and the accounting practices used by most state and local...