February 2021
17Feb

My word is my bond: Linking sovereign debt with national sustainability commitments

By Anderson Caputo Silva, Fiona Stewart The global COVID-19 pandemic has caused millions of deaths and the greatest global economic downturn in nearly a century. Public debt increased by $8.5 trillion in 2020, up to September, including by $1.4 trillion in emerging markets. At the same time, unprecedented levels of investment will be needed to fund COVID-19 stimulus and relief packages, as well as to address the challenges posed by climate change and the degradation of ecosystems that regulate the...

February 17, 2021
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January 2021

22Jan

World Bank exposes economic and social impact of coronavirus in South Asia

Governments in South Asia, one of the poorest areas in the world, are ruthlessly imposing the burden of economic devastation created by the coronavirus pandemic onto the working masses. COVID-19 infections continue to wreak havoc, with the number of infections in the region climbing yesterday to a total of 12 million with 176,000 deaths in the region. Also Read: OECD launches MENA Pension Oultook report for the fisrt time Globally, the number of cases has hit 95 million with over...

January 22, 2021
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December 2020

03Dec

Why economics needs to wake up to ageing populations

Economics generally pays surprisingly little attention to demography, even though the ageing and shrinking of the population in so many parts of the world is a striking and new phenomenon in human history. Take Italy. Last year the country recorded the smallest annual number of births since the Risorgimento of the mid-19th century and nearly a third of its population is over 60. There has been an absolute decline in the number of people in Italy since 2015, even...

December 3, 2020
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November 2020

18Nov

Latin America’s leaders will have plenty of headaches

For latin america´s leaders 2021 will be about steering economic recovery while fending off a debt crisis and trying to persuade their citizens that democracy can still deliver results. What are the prospects around the region? With populations ravaged by covid-19 despite long lockdowns, many countries may have some degree of “herd immunity”. But the socio-economic consequences of the pandemic will linger: after economies contracted by 8% or so in 2020, Latin America will have some 40m “new poor”,...

November 18, 2020
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October 2020

02Oct

IMF says Spain will not return to pre-pandemic levels of activity until 2023

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has published its conclusions following the review of Spain's economy under Article IV that governs member states. The team led by Andrea Schaechter, head of the mission for Spain, projects an annual loss of real GDP production of 12.8% in 2020, unchanged when compared with what was already estimated at the end of June. "Spain has suffered the deepest blow in advanced economies," Schaechter acknowledged at her press conference. "It will take years...

October 2, 2020
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September 2020

30Sep

S&P warns Romania planned pension hike could derail economy

S&P Global Ratings warned Romania on Tuesday that a move by parliament to reinstate a massive 40% raise in pensions would prompt a disorderly fiscal correction just as the economy is struggling with the impact of the coronavirus pandemic. Romania's parliament voted this month to raise all state pensions by 40%, undoing a smaller 14% hike by the centrist minority government and opening the way for potential ratings downgrades two months before a parliamentary election. The government, which has...

September 30, 2020
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24Sep

Impact of Fintech Development on Savings, Borrowing and Remittances: A Comparative Study of Emerging Economies

By Angela Lyons, Josephine Kass-Hanna, Ana Polato e Fava Fintech is rapidly changing the landscape for financial services in terms of accessibility and affordability, especially in this post-COVID era. Digital finance now has the potential to be a game changer for the nearly two billion financially excluded persons in the developing and emerging world. Non-bank providers such as mobile money services have expanded and are leapfrogging ahead of conventional banking services. This study investigates the linkages between fintech development...

September 24, 2020
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15Sep

Demographic Obstacles to European Growth

By Thomas F. Cooley, Espen Henriksen, Charlie Nusbaum Since the early 1990's the growth rates of the four largest European economies -- France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom -- have slowed. This persistent slowdown suggests a low-frequency structural change is at work. A combination of longer individual life expectancies and declining fertility have led to gradually aging populations. Growth accounting identifies the following five sources of economic growth: total factor productivity, capital deepening, labor supply on...

September 15, 2020
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August 2020

25Aug

Pakistan. The politics of pension reform

Last week, Prime Minister Imran Khan expressed his resolve to address the pension issue. It is the first time the issue of pension has found a space on the national policy radar and caught the sitting PM’s attention. To address the pension problem, the PM must sort out its economics, politics and process. I have written extensively on the economics and process, but not as much on politics. Nonetheless, politics remains the thorniest part. Considering that any reform could...

August 25, 2020
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21Aug

Trading for Development in the Age of Global Value Chains

By World Bank Global value chains (GVCs) powered the surge of international trade after 1990 and now account for almost half of all trade. This shift enabled an unprecedented economic convergence: poor countries grew rapidly and began to catch up with richer countries. Since the 2008 global financial crisis, however, the growth of trade has been sluggish and the expansion of GVCs has stalled. Meanwhile, serious threats have emerged to the model of trade-led growth. New technologies could draw production...

August 21, 2020
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