March 2026

Risks, returns and realism: Mapping the future of pension investment

By Nicolas Firzli and Nick Sherry  Former Australian pensions minister Nick Sherry and World Pensions Forum director M Nicolas J Firzli explain their new model for visualising the future of asset allocation as interest in private markets and productive finance increases. We are living in the Age of Geo-Economics – defined by the second Trump presidency, the accelerating Sino-American technological rivalry, and the weaponisation of trade, finance and central banking – shaping the Fifth Industrial Revolution – bringing us artificial intelligence, advanced...

US. How every state’s public pension system ranks

Reason Foundation’s 2025 Pension Solvency and Performance Report ranks every state’s pension system across five dimensions—funded status, investment performance, contribution adequacy, asset allocation risk, and the probability of meeting assumed returns—based on the latest fiscal year data from nearly every major plan in the country. The sections below summarize the strongest and weakest performers in each category. For each state, the results reflect the aggregate values of its major pension systems, including plans administered at both the state and local...

Why Social Security Is Essential to Measuring Wealth Inequality

By Knowledge at Wharton Staff In this Q&A, professor Sylvain Catherine discusses why including Social Security fundamentally changes how we measure wealth inequality. His paper “Social Security and Trends in Wealth Inequality” was co-authored by Max Miller and Natasha Sarin and recently won the Dimensional Fund Advisors First Prize from the American Finance Association. The paper was previously awarded the Marshall Blume Prize in Financial Research from Wharton’s Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research, given annually to the best...

It’s thanks to Social Security wealth inequality isn’t even worse, Wharton economist says. Trump’s policies will push it to insolvency in 6 years

America’s debt burden is caught in a death loop, and President Donald Trump’s policy agenda has accelerated that spiral. Among other consequences, the country’s race towards fiscal chaos might also plunge Social Security into insolvency, potentially erasing a $40 trillion buffer that has helped moderate wealth inequality over the past few decades. Modern-day America’s chasm between the ultra-rich and the rest of the country hasn’t been this wide since the Gilded Age, when the wealthiest 5% held a third of...

Gen X Americans Face New Retirement Savings Threat

Generation X Americans could face new pressure on their retirement savings as the economic fallout from the war in Iran ripples through global markets. Now in its second week, the U.S. helmed conflict has pushed oil prices up sharply as bombing impacts regions critical to the production and movement of energy from the Persian Gulf. The price of Brent crude, which is the international benchmark, has surged to $119.50 per barrel. This morning, the NASDAQ fell by more than 1...

US. Pension freezes threaten retirement security again

A growing number of employers, including major healthcare systems like Intermountain Health, are freezing pensions, signaling a renewed shift away from guaranteed retirement income. Rising costs, longer life spans, and market volatility are driving companies toward defined contribution plans that transfer investment risk to employees. Workers now face the challenge of replacing lost pension value through higher personal savings, revised portfolio strategies, and alternative retirement products. Intermountain Health freezes pension plan for many employees Intermountain Health, a major nonprofit health system...

The Impact of Pension System Reforms on Elderly Labor Force Participation: A Comparative Study of Germany, the United States, and Brazil

By Amos Kupaza Objective: This study provides the first harmonized, micro‑level comparative analysis of pension reform effects on elderly labor force participation in three paradigmatic welfare regimes: Germany (coordinated market economy, conservative‑corporatist welfare), the United States (liberal market economy, liberal welfare), and Brazil (dualistic economy, conservative‑informal welfare). We test the institutional mediation hypothesis: that reform effects are systematically shaped by labor market structures, social protection arrangements, and production regimes. Methods: We employ harmonized microdata from IPUMS-CPS (USA) and IPUMS-International (Germany, Brazil) , comprising 495,000 person‑year observations spanning 2000–2023....

Estimated funded status of 100 largest U.S. DB pension plans reaches 84.7%: report

The funded status of the 100 largest U.S. defined benefit pension plans is projected to have reached 84.7 per cent as of Nov. 30, 2025, according to a new report by Milliman Inc. It noted the last time these plans reached similar heights was in December 2021, when the funded ratio reached 85.5 per cent, a high-water mark in the nearly 14-year history of the report. The report also found aggregate assets reached US$5.05 trillion and total pension liability was $6.50...

US retirees are trading the 4% rule for the ‘bucket strategy.’

For decades, retirees have followed the guideline to withdraw 4% of their investment portfolio each year in retirement. This maximum withdrawal rate was believed to be a sure-fire method for stretching retirement income for 30 years or more. One of the rule’s big advantages is its simplicity, but simple doesn’t always mean better. Given how unpredictable the economy has become, the so-called 4% rule is seen as outdated, with outfits like Morningstar recommending withdrawal rates between 3.3% and 4% depending...

The Typical American’s Retirement Savings Is Shockingly Low—Here’s What To Do About It

Many American workers don't have enough retirement savings. Among American workers aged 21 to 64 with any defined contribution savings, the median balance was $40,000, according to 2023 Census data recently analyzed by the National Institute on Retirement Security.1 When the researchers included workers without retirement savings, the median amount saved in defined contribution plans was a paltry $955. Retirement in the U.S. is often described as a three-legged stool, with people relying on Social Security, pensions, and individual retirement savings. But fewer workers have pensions....