June 2023

US. GOP bill aims to block ERISA plans from funding firms linked to U.S. adversaries

Rep. Jim Banks, R-Ind., introduced a bill to block ERISA-governed retirement plans from making new investments in companies controlled by or based in Iran, North Korea, Russia and China. "Several states, including my home state of Indiana, divested their pension funds from China, but federally regulated ERISA plans continue to fund firms that are building up the People's Liberation Army, stealing U.S. intellectual property and participating in the Uyghur genocide," said Mr. Banks, who serves on the Select Committee on...

US Pension Funded Status Continues to Improve in May

Despite negative returns for many asset classes in the stock market, decreasing liabilities resulted in U.S. corporate pension funded status improvements in May, according to analysts. Pension discount rates rose almost one-quarter of a percentage point in May, erasing much of the fall in rates that had been seen so far this year, according to Agilis’s May Pension Briefing. This boost in funded status comes on the heels of a strong April for pension plans, as an increasing number of pension...

US. Social Security’s woes highlight need for holistic plan

Given Social Security's uncertain future, defined contribution executives say that it's important for plan sponsors to offer participants holistic retirement planning and encourage additional savings. The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund, which covers retirees and their families, is now set to reach depletion in 2033, according to an April report from the Social Security Board of Trustees. If that happens, the trust's income would be able to pay 77% of its scheduled benefits, the report states. A reduction in Social...

Projections of the Size and Composition of the U.S. Population: 2014 to 2060

By Sandra L. Colby & Jennifer M. Ortman  Between 2014 and 2060, the U.S. population is projected to increase from 319 million to 417 million, reaching 400 million in 2051. The U.S. population is projected to grow more slowly in future decades than in the recent past, as these projections assume that fertility rates will continue to decline and that there will be a modest decline in the overall rate of net international migration. By 2030, one in five Americans...

A Complaint Template for Legal Challenges to the Validity of the Statutory ‘Debt Ceiling’

By Robert C. Hockett The Statutory ‘Debt Ceiling’ appearing at 31 USC 3101(b), rooted in the Second Liberty Bond Act of 1917 aimed at expanding Treasury financing options during the First World War, is not valid in any application that would occasion default on U.S. sovereign debt, other contractual obligations, or Social Security or Veterans’ pension obligations. There are at least seven mutually reinforcing legal grounds for so saying. These include preemption of such application of the Ceiling by the...

Pension Systems (Un)Sustainability and Fiscal Constraints: A Comparative Analysis

By Burkhard Heer, Vito Polito & Michael Wickens  Using an overlapping generations model, two new indicators of public pension system sustainability are proposed: the pension space, which measures the capacity to pay for pension expenditures out of labour taxation, and the pension space exhaustion probability reflecting demographic uncertainties. These measures reveal that the pension spaces of advanced economies are strikingly different. Most nations have little scope to further finance pensions out of labour income taxation over the next thirty years....

U.S. public pension funds look to ramp up scenario modeling, stress-testing spending

The vast majority of U.S. public pension funds plan to increase spending on scenario modeling and stress testing in the next two years, according to a report from Rotterdam, Netherlands-based risk management consultant Ortec Finance. According to interviews conducted in February with 50 fund executives overseeing a total of $1.315 trillion in assets, 90% plan to increase spending on those items to help manage market volatility. "Many pension plans saw the value of their assets fall last year in what was...

US. DOL took thumb ‘off the scale’ in finalizing new ESG rule, official says

Despite mischaracterizations and political backlash, the Department of Labor's new rule permitting retirement plan fiduciaries to consider environmental, social and governance factors when selecting investments and exercising shareholder rights does not tip the balance in favor of ESG, a key department official said Tuesday. "The final rule that we put out, notwithstanding what you may have heard, doesn't require consideration of ESG, it doesn't mandate that every investment have an ESG score attached to it, it doesn't mandate that if...

Funding ratios for U.S. corporate pension plans increase in May

U.S. corporate pension plans saw their funding ratios increase in May thanks to falling liability values offsetting asset losses due to negative non-U.S. equity returns during the month, according to three new reports. Wilshire Advisors estimated the aggregate funding ratio of U.S. corporate plans increased 0.8% percentage points to land at 99.8% as of May 31. Liability values declined further than asset values after U.S. Treasury yields rose, primarily due to debt ceiling negotiations and continuing anticipation regarding the Federal Reserve,...

US. Senate passes debt ceiling agreement; bill heads to Biden

With only days before a projected U.S. default, the Senate in a 63-36 vote on Thursday passed a bill to suspend the debt ceiling, sending the measure to President Joe Biden for signature. The Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2023 will suspend the debt ceiling until January 2025 and cap federal spending for at least two years. The Congressional Budget Office on Tuesday estimated the bill will cut the federal deficit by $1.5 trillion over the next decade. The measure was passed...