March 2021

‘Markets Are Wrong’: $2 Trillion of Pension Funds Skip Bond Rout

As interest-rate jitters supercharged a meltdown in the world’s biggest bond market, Sam Sicilia barely blinked. “The markets are wrong” about inflation expectations, said Sicilia, chief investment officer of the A$56 billion ($43 billion) Host-Plus Pty pension fund in Melbourne. “Deflationary forces are bigger. Interest rates are going to stay at effectively zero.” With governments around the globe still adding to trillions of dollars of stimulus to ride out the pandemic, pension fund managers who are trying to discern the long-term...

China’s aging population is a bigger challenge than its ‘one-child’ policy, economists say

China’s decades-old one-child policy gained renewed attention in the last few weeks, after authorities gave mixed signals on whether they were closer to abolishing limits on how many children people can have. Authorities have rolled back the controversial one-child policy in recent years to allow people to have two children. But economists say other changes are needed for boosting growth as births fall and China’s population rapidly ages. “There are two ways to address this. One way is to relax the...

UK. Pension risk settlements reached record high of over £54bn in 2020

The UK pension scheme risk settlement market hit a new record-high figure of over £54bn in 2020, and 2021 could be even bigger, according to analysis from Aon. The provider said it was possible to conclude that 2020 had broken the £52bn total achieved in 2019 now that all information on deals was available, while it cited “early indications” in its forecast that the new year could be worth even more. It also noted that the feat had been achieved despite...

US. Prelude to a State Pension Bailout

By Andrew G. Biggs After decades of mismanagement, state and local government pensions face unfunded liabilities topping $4.2 trillion. When a major public plan finally runs dry, you can bet Congress will bail it out no matter the crippling cost. Congressional Democrats’ Covid-relief package includes a multibillion-dollar bailout for union-affiliated private-sector multiemployer pensions. If politicians will bail out truckers’ and coal miners’ pensions, why would they turn away teachers and firefighters? Multiemployer pensions are jointly run by labor unions and employers,...

February 2021

Latin American Sovereigns Are at a Pension Reform Crossroads

Fitch Ratings-London/New York-25 February 2021: Fiscal challenges and social grievances are adding urgency to a new wave of pension reforms in Latin America that could be relevant for sovereign ratings, Fitch Ratings says in a new report. Latin America’s population is still among the world’s youngest, but it is ageing at one of the fastest paces, and its savings patterns stand out as being especially low given the coming demographic pressure. But reform efforts will face challenges after years of...

US. With lower returns on the horizon, public pensions will turn to riskier assets, Moody’s says

State and local government pension systems are increasingly dependent on investment returns, and at risk of increasingly volatile results, as funding levels remain depressed and systems increasingly start to pay out more than they take in, according to a new report from Moody’s. The credit-ratings agency anticipates higher volatility and lower returns across asset classes in 2021 compared to 2020, even as many pension sponsors have spent the past few years lowering their assumed returns from previous loftier targets that...

Protecting people working through platforms: Commission launches a first-stage consultation of the social partners

Today, the Commission launches the first-stage consultation of European social partners on how to improve the working conditions for people working through digital labour platforms. Platform work is developing rapidly in the EU across a growing number of business sectors. It can offer increased flexibility, job opportunities and additional revenue, including for people who might find it more difficult to enter the traditional labour market. However, certain types of platform work are also associated with precarious working conditions, reflected...

UK pension fund fossil fuel investments laid bare

Despite more than 75% of the UK's local councils declaring a climate emergency, their pension funds are still pouring billions into fossil fuels the world over. A new report from campaigners Platform, Friends of the Earth (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) and Friends of the Earth Scotland reveals UK local government pensions held $14 billion in fossil fuel investments last financial year. The analysis said it equates to about $2500 invested in fossil fuels for each of the 6.8 million people...

Is COVID-19 a preview of what retirement will be like?

The pandemic has given many folks a taste of what retirement could be like. An abrupt end to work. A loss of social connection. Trying to make ends meet on a much lower income. Many haven’t been happy with the experience. Worried that your retirement could be similar? Here are eight lessons we can learn from the pandemic, all drawn from my new book. 1. Retirement can be a shock. In fact, it’s quite similar to what people experienced during the...

Emerging Europe strong on women’s economic opportunities but dragged down by low pensions

Countries from the emerging Europe region performed well on the latest global survey of women’s economic opportunities from the World Bank. The post-socialist countries of Central, Southeast and Eastern Europe and Eurasia had an average score of 86.4 points out of 100, while globally, women had just three-quarters of the legal rights afforded to men on average around the world. The report “Women, Business and the Law 2021”, looks at laws and regulations in eight areas that affect women’s economic opportunities...