April 2025

Population Aging, Digital Financial Inclusion, Development Strategies and Economic Resilience

By Dongsong Cai, Ling Long, WanHuan Cai & Xin Wang As China enters into a deeply aging society, China's demographic development has come to an unprecedented stage of great transition, which also has an impact on economic resilience. Based on the perspective of new structural economics, the relationship between population aging and economic resilience is explored. Meanwhile, empirical tests using provincial panel data find that, firstly, there is a positive effect of population aging on economic resilience, i.e., population aging...

Iniciativas de Reforma en materia de Pensiones y Vivienda

Por Deloitte  Se plantea establecer a través de modificaciones al artículo 123 Constitucional que las personas trabajadoras con 65 años que empezaron a cotizar a partir del 1° de julio de 1997 en la Ley del Seguro Social, así como las personas trabajadoras que estén bajo el régimen de cuentas individuales que cotizan en el Instituto de Seguridad de Servicios Sociales de los Trabajadores del Estado tendrán derecho a que su pensión de retiro. Fuente Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited

Optimal Investment-Consumption and Retirement Choice with Labor and Pension Incomes

By Hyun Jin Jang & Seon Hwa Lee This study examines lifetime optimal investment, consumption, and retirement timing decisions under a heterogeneous consumption utility function and the presence of pension earnings. Using the duality method, we derive the optimal wealth, investment-consumption strategies, and voluntary retirement region. Through simulation analysis, we assess the impact of pensions on these decisions. Our findings highlight the critical role of pensions in retirement planning, alongside wages and labor costs. Notably, pension benefits encourage earlier voluntary...

Unequal Inflationary Effects of Tariffs across Socio-Demographic Groups

By Hakan Yilmazkuday This paper investigates the heterogeneous effects of U.S. tariffs on inflation across socio-demographic groups, utilizing a structural vector autoregression model that controls for oil prices, output growth, policy rates, and exchange rates. The aggregate tariff pass-through to inflation is estimated at 0.51, with tariffs accounting for approximately 17% of overall inflation volatility. Disaggregated analysis reveals significant variation, where tariff pass-through ranges from 0.38 to 0.55 across income percentiles, with higher income groups experiencing greater pass-through and a...

Tariffs, Tokens, and Turmoil: The Market Fallout from Trump’s Policy Uncertainty

By David Krause This paper investigates the financial consequences of economic policy shifts following President Trump's second inauguration in January 2025. Using empirical data from April 2024 through April 7, 2025, this study assesses asset performance across U.S. equities, cryptocurrencies, gold, and bonds. The administration's aggressive trade protectionism, ambiguous digital asset directives, and deregulatory approach to artificial intelligence have triggered heightened market volatility, diminished investor confidence, and a rotation toward defensive assets. Indexed returns reveal that traditional safe havens like...

Informe Sobre el Estado de la Protección Social 2025. El Desafío de 2 Mil Millones de Personas

Por Banco Mundial  En la última década, los países de ingreso bajo y medio han logrado ampliar sus sistemas de protección social para abarcar a una cifra récord de 4700 millones de personas. En estos países, tres de cada cuatro personas pertenecen a hogares que reciben actualmente algún tipo de transferencia de protección social o tienen acceso a ella a través de sus contribuciones previas. Alcanzar este logro no fue una tarea fácil. Sin embargo, a pesar de los aumentos...

ESG KPI report 2025. Managing what you measure

By Invest Europe Tackling climate change and standing strong on responsible investment themes, such as diversity and zero tolerance to corruption, are among the greatest challenges – and responsibilities – facing the European private equity industry today. These considerations are not only at the forefront of policymakers’ and investors’ minds, but also ever more central to consumers when they decide how to spend their money. We are firm believers in the saying that you cannot manage what you don’t measure. With...

ESG investing: a global investor survey

By AXA Investment Managers We are committed to responsible investing and supporting the transition to sustainable economies. As long-term custodians of wealth, we strive to identify and back environmental, social and governance (ESG) leaders that can protect and grow client portfolios. In doing so, we believe that understanding customer perspectives is paramount, which is why we carried out this extensive study on individual views toward ESG investing across various markets, regions, and demographics.   Get the report here

Sostenibilidad financiera y suficiencia económica de los sistemas de Seguridad Social: una visión global

Por Nuria Benítez Llamazares Este capítulo ofrece una visión global y comparativa de los distintos sistemas de pensiones, categorizados en universales, mixtos, selectivos o residuales, y emergentes. Se analizan las diferencias entre los países desarrollados y en desarrollo, destacando los retos que afrontan en términos de sostenibilidad financiera y suficiencia económica. Las reformas paramétricas, como el aumento de la edad de jubilación y la vinculación de las pensiones a la inflación, se presentan como soluciones para enfrentar el envejecimiento de...

March 2025

Parental Leave Policies, Fertility, and Labor Supply

By Daisoon Kim & Minchul Yum South Korea has been facing persistently low fertility rates and large gender gaps in labor supply. In response, the government has expanded parental leave benefits to address these challenges. To evaluate the effectiveness of these policies, we develop a quantitative, heterogeneous-household life-cycle model in which couples make joint decisions on careers, labor supply, savings, and child-related choices, including fertility, childcare, and parental leave take-up. The model is calibrated to recent Korean cohorts to replicate...