December 2025
15Dec

Brazil’s Supreme Court (STF) has scheduled for December 18th the trial that could increase benefits in 2026.

The Supreme Federal Court set a date for December 18, 2025 the trial that could directly affect minimum age for special retirement, with significant implications for workers exposed to harmful conditions and for those who have already reorganized their lives after retirement. Beyond the minimum age for special retirementThe agenda involves the possibility of resuming full retirement benefits and allowing the conversion of special time into common time, forming a set of decisions that, if they move forward, could alter retirement planning, values, and...

December 15, 2025
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11Dec

Brazil. The pension deficit is no longer a distant issue but is now a national concern, raising the question that will define the future of a generation: will it still be possible to retire?

Pension system pressured by growing deficit, demographic changes and uncertainties about future payment capacity. The situation of the Brazilian social security system is no longer addressed solely in technical reports; it has become a key point in public debate, precisely because official data shows that the system operates under continuous structural pressure. With each new release, the perception grows that demographic, financial, and administrative challenges are accumulating rapidly. Furthermore, experts say that the pressure tends to intensify, as the country ages...

December 11, 2025
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June 2025
12Jun

Brazil and Mexico draw inflows as investors rotate from China, India, and Russia

Latin American equities have become the top-performing stock market group this year, with investors paying just over $9 for every $1 in earnings—compared to over $19 in developed markets—according to Reuters. Brazil and Mexico have emerged as central markets for global investors seeking yield, value, and diversification amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and a shifting global macroeconomic landscape. Both countries’ stock markets are trading near record highs, with valuations described as low. Sovereign bonds across the region offer attractive yields, supported by softening...

June 12, 2025
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May 2025
05May

Brazil social security minister latest to quit in major pension fraud scandal

Brazil's Social Security Minister, Carlos Lupi, has resigned nine days after police unveiled a major corruption scandal which defrauded pensioners of $1.1bn (£829m). Federal police allege that over the past decade, the National Social Security Institute (INSS) made unauthorised deductions from payments made to millions of pensioners. The money was allegedly paid to several associations and unions, which then shared the earnings with corrupt government officials. Lupi has always denied any wrongdoing and said he ordered an investigation as soon as he...

May 5, 2025
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April 2025
24Apr

Brazilian police probe a pension fraud scheme that stole $1 billion from retirees

Brazil 's federal police said Wednesday they are investigating a scheme that diverted over 6 billion reais ($1.05 billion) from pensions paid by the National Social Security Institute. The probe targets 11 organizations that operated between 2019 and 2024, authorities told reporters. The scheme had retirees listed as members of associations that collected part of their monthly pensions as fees for the organizations. However, the retirees had never joined such associations nor authorized the deductions. As part of the probe, the president...

April 24, 2025
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March 2025
28Mar

BlackRock Targets Pension Funds in Growth Strategy for Brazil

BlackRock Inc., the world’s largest asset manager, is in talks with Brazilian pension funds to expand further into the 2.9 trillion-real ($510 billion) industry. “Today, we don’t have a mandate to manage money from pension funds locally in Brazil,” Bruno Barino, who took over as BlackRock’s Brazil country manager in October, said in an interview. “But it’s a natural evolution; there is no way to be in this market and not do it.” With $11.6 trillion in assets under management, BlackRock...

March 28, 2025
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November 2024
14Nov

Brazil. Military pensions post largest deficit among retirement systems

The segment is also the one with the most retirement benefits, according to a TCU report Targeted by the fiscal reforms under consideration by the government, Brazil’s military pension system (SPSMFA) recorded a deficit of R$49.73 billion last year, placing it as less sustainable than the General Social Security System (RGPS) and generating a per capita deficit 17 times higher. This data appears in a separate report by Walton Alencar of the Federal Court of Accounts (TCU), presented during the review...

November 14, 2024
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13Nov

Brazil’s aging population poses challenges, economists warn

By Marsílea Gombata Brazil is set to experience rapid demographic changes within the next 20 years, which could slow economic growth and increase expenditures on healthcare and pensions. However, these shifts are not being adequately considered in government decision-making, according to economists from the Fundação Getulio Vargas’s Brazilian Institute of Economics (Ibre-FGV). They caution that, from a budgetary standpoint, the government should exercise greater caution with projected spending in areas like education, given the anticipated decline in the population aged...

November 13, 2024
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October 2024
25Oct

Beyond Informal Employment: Stagnation and Disguised Employment in Brazil

By Carolina Troncoso Baltar, Esther Dweck, Marilia Marcato & Camila Unis Krepsky This study analyses the Brazilian labour market from 2014 to 2019, focusing on the impact of the country's growth pattern on rising informal and self-employment. After a period of economic growth, Brazil faced a recession (2015-2016) and stagnation (2016-2019). Austerity-driven reforms were implemented, weakening policies aimed at stimulating growth, reducing unemployment, and improving formalization. Using structural decomposition analysis within a demand-driven input-output model, the study examines how changes in demand...

October 25, 2024
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August 2024
23Aug

Brazil’s population decline will happen sooner than predicted

The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) has periodically published findings from the 2022 Census. The population count flagged the fast and steep aging of the Brazilian population, and new projections from the IBGE now show just how steep this process is. According to the new calculations, which factor in indicators such as fertility rate (number of births per woman), life expectancy, and migration, the Brazilian population will increase from the current 203 million inhabitants to 220 million in 2041 — when it...

August 23, 2024
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