September 2025

Economic and Distributional Effects of Demographic Shifts: Evaluating Pay-as-You-Go and Fully Funded Pension Schemes Based on the Greek Experience

By Zois Gerasimos Katsimigas, Christos Papatheodorou This paper examines economic and distributional consequences of demographic shifts by comparing pay-as-you-go (PAYG) and fully funded (FF) pension schemes in a macroeconomic framework, using Greece as a case study. Facing acute ageing and population decline, Greece provides a unique context to assess the performance of these schemes. We develop a post-Keynesian stock-flow consistent (SFC) model calibrated to the Greek economy to simulate the macroeconomic and distributional outcomes of both schemes under projected demographic...

August 2025

Economic and Distributional Effects of Demographic Shifts: Evaluating Pay-as-You-Go and Fully Funded Pension Schemes Based on the Greek Experience

By Zois Gerasimos Katsimigas & Christos Papatheodorou This paper examines economic and distributional consequences of demographic shifts by comparing pay-as-you-go (PAYG) and fully funded (FF) pension schemes in a macroeconomic framework, using Greece as a case study. Facing acute ageing and population decline, Greece provides a unique context to assess the performance of these schemes. We develop a post-Keynesian stock-flow consistent (SFC) model calibrated to the Greek economy to simulate the macroeconomic and distributional outcomes of both schemes under projected...

May 2025

The DC Future Book 2024: in association with Columbia Threadneedle Investments

By Pensions Policy Institute This report is the tenth edition of the Pensions Policy Institute’s (PPI) The DC Future Book: in association with Columbia Threadneedle Investments, setting out available data on the Defined Contribution (DC) landscape alongside commentary, analysis and projections of future trends. Demographic and policy changes mean that, compared to previous generations of pensioners, current and future retirees will. These changes increase the risk borne by pension savers and the complexity of decisions they must make at, and during,...

UK. Pension savers urged not to panic despite potential impact of volatility on DC savings

Defined contribution (DC) pension savers could see their potential retirement income fall by up to 20 per cent as a result of market volatility seen following the introduction of US tariffs, although those in defined benefit (DB) schemes are unlikely to be affected, research from the Society of Pension Professionals has revealed. The SPP acknowledged that, in the wake of US President, Donald Trump, announcing new import taxes on goods from almost every country, the economic turbulence felt across the...

January 2025

Pensions Investment Review: Unlocking the UK pensions market for growth

By Department for Work and Pensions & HM Treasury In July 2024 the Chancellor announced a landmark Pensions Review, the first phase of which was purposed with exploring new ways to boost investment, increasing saver returns and tackling waste in the pensions system. The joint HM Treasury-Department for Work and Pensions Minister Emma Reynolds MP was asked by the Chancellor to lead the first phase of the review, which is focussed on four specific areas. Get the report here

December 2024

Aon UK DC Pension Tracker – Q3 2024: State Pension increase drives rise in savers’ expected incomes

By Aon Over Q2 as a whole, the Aon UK DC Tracker rose which suggests the expected future living standard in retirement provided by defined contribution (DC) savings was higher than at the end of the previous quarter. All members benefited from the April 2024 increase in the state pension, which increased from £10,600 to £11,500 per year. The oldest saver saw the largest proportionate increase from this change as the state pension makes up a larger proportion of their expected retirement income. Positive returns...

UK. DC retirement expectations fall for young savers amid ‘flat’ investment returns

The expected future living standard in retirement provided by defined contribution (DC) savings fell for young savers in Q3, following "flat" investment returns, Aon’s UK DC pension tracker has revealed. The youngest saver’s expected income in retirement decreased by around £170 p.a. (0.5 per cent), driven by the increase in expected inflation and a decrease in the expected future investment return assumptions post-retirement. An increase in future expected return assumptions before retirement partially offset these decreases. However, older savers’ expected retirement...

November 2024

UK. Hopes and fears for pensions in 2025

Improvements in defined benefit (DB) pension scheme funding mean that, for many, the ‘endgame’ for the pension scheme now feels tangible, instead of a distant ambition. However, the advent of the new funding regime will overlay a new discipline. With defined contribution (DC) schemes, questions around adequacy remain uppermost for members, while the absence of a timetable for the extension of auto-enrolment minimum contributions continues to be a concern.” The challenge of retirement adequacy We now know that Employer National Insurance...

US. Why do workers yearn for defined-benefit pension plans?

A closer look at the Boeing negotiations only makes the question more puzzling Boeing Co. unionized workers recently voted to accept the aerospace company's third contract offer and end their strike. The agreement does not include reopening the Boeing (BA) defined-benefit pension plan, which was cited as the major reason that the union rejected the second offer. Even though the strike is over, I find the fact that reopening the pension plan played such a prominent role in the negotiations really...

Gen X slip between DB and DC pension cracks

The tail-off in defined benefit (DB) pension provision around the millennium and a lack of compulsion around defined contribution (DC) saving until 2012 has had a lasting impact according to Standard Life’s Retirement Voice report. • Majority of Gen X (54%) are worried their finances won’t cover their retirement – compared to 31% among Baby Boomers • 45% Gen X expect their living standard to be worse in retirement compared to 29% of Millennials • Gen X most likely...