March 2022

German government prepares Aktienrente bill

German government prepares Aktienrente bill

The statutory equity pension is an ‘integral part’ of the work of the current coalition government, says FDP’s Vogel The German government is working on a draft law to reform the first pillar scheme with the statutory equity pension model, or Aktienrente, to be finalised in the next few weeks, said Johannes Vogel, deputy chair of the Free Democratic Party (FDP) and member of the parliamentary committee on labour and social affairs, in an interview with T-Online.de. The government, supported by...

January 2022

Germany wants to attract 400,000 skilled workers from abroad each year

Germany's new coalition government wants to attract 400,000 qualified workers from abroad each year to tackle both a demographic imbalance and labour shortages in key sectors that risk undermining the recovery from the coronavirus pandemic. "The shortage of skilled workers has become so serious by now that it is dramatically slowing down our economy," Christian Duerr, parliamentary leader of the co-governing Free Democrats (FDP), told business magazine WirtschaftsWoche. "We can only get the problem of an ageing workforce under control with...

Pensions in Germany: How the new government plans to solve an age-old issue

Germany's ageing population continues to cause uncertainty about the future of the pension system. Here's how the new government is planning to make ends meet. The issues with Germany’s pensions pot are well documented. Thanks to the country’s ageing population, over the next 10-15 years, a huge number of people will go from being tax payers to pension recipients, creating a troubling imbalance between people paying into the system and people drawing money out. It’s a problem that has been plaguing...

Germany’s Aging Population Means 5 Million Fewer Workers

Germany’s population is aging and the impact is starting to get real, according to Holger Schaefer, senior economist with the IW economic institute in Cologne. In 2022, the workforce is set to shrink by more than 300,000 people as more reach retirement age than start working, and it will get worse in the coming years, he said on Twitter. By the end of the decade, there could be more than 5 million fewer workers, unless immigration can plug the gap. Read more...

Germans see pandemic, pensions as biggest topics for 2022-poll

Germans want their new government to focus on fighting the coronavirus pandemic and safeguarding pensions in 2022, with fewer people wanting them to prioritise the climate crisis, an opinion poll showed on Sunday. The survey by pollsters Insa for the Bild am Sonntag newspaper showed that 61% of the 2,004 people questioned think combating the pandemic is the most important task of the government, followed by securing pensions. Germans also want the government to deal with a shortage of staff...

December 2021

Aging Germany Is Running Out of Workers, Putting Europe’s Largest Economy at Risk

Germany has long been ahead of the curve as a source of technical innovation and manufacturing. Now it is leading much of the developed world toward a demographic cliff edge that could put a damper on Europe’s largest economy, raising pressure on its pension system and pushing inflation higher for years to come. Economists forecast that Germany’s workforce could peak as soon as 2023 and then shrink by up to five million people by the end of the decade. While...

Reforms of an Early Retirement Pathway in Germany and Their Labor Market Effects

By Regina T. Riphahn & Rebecca Schrader We investigate the unemployment pathway to retirement in Germany and study the causal effects of two early retirement reforms. Reform 1 (NRA) increased normal retirement age stepwise from 60 to 65. Simultaneously, it became possible to use early retirement with benefit discounts. Reform 2 (ERA) increased the age of early retirement stepwise from 60 to 63. We investigate behavioral responses to the reforms using administrative data and difference-indifferences strategies. We find strong and...

November 2021

Early Retirement of Employees in Demanding Jobs: Evidence from a German Pension Reform

By Johannes Geyer, Svenja Lorenz, Thomas Zwick & Mona Bruns Early retirement options are usually targeted at employees at risk of not reaching their regular retirement age in employment. An important at-risk group comprises employees who have worked in demanding jobs for many years. This group may be particularly negatively affected by the abolition of early retirement options. To measure differences in labor market reactions of employees in low- and high-demand jobs, we exploit the quasi-natural experiment of a cohort-specific...

Pensions, Income Taxes and Homeownership: A Cross-Country Analysis

By Hans Fehr, Maurice Hofmann & George Kudrna This paper studies the role of pensions and income taxes in determining homeownership and household wealth. It provides a cross-country analysis, using tax and pension policy designs in Germany, the US and Australia. These developed nations have similar incomes per capita but very different homeownership rates, with the US and Australia having much higher homeownership compared to Germany. The question is to what extent the observed differences in homeownership are induced by...

Germany’s $400 Billion Pension Fund Eyes Capital Markets Boost

Germany’s future government plans to let the country’s pension system invest in the capital markets for the first time in what would be a small revolution in how Europe’s largest economy manages money for its growing ranks of retirees. Negotiators for the Social Democrats, Greens and the market-oriented Free Democrats are seeking to hammer out details that would allow the $400 billion pension system to start investing some of its reserves into stocks and bonds, which would bring it more...