February 2025

Could Retirement Finance Reform Reboot the European Economy?

The European Union is grappling with two interlinked crises that threaten its long-term economic stability: a severe shortfall in risk capital and an impending pension crisis exacerbated by demographic aging. Recent reports by Mario Draghi and Enrico Letta have sounded the alarm on the EU’s moribund growth prospects, highlighting a critical lack of investment liquidity for innovation and infrastructure. At the same time, Europe’s dominant pay-as-you-go pension systems are in an actuarial death spiral as the working-age population shrinks...

France. Pensions: a deficit of 30 billion euros in 2045 without new reform

The Court of Auditors unveiled this Thursday an alarming report on the future of the pension system in France, commissioned by François Bayrou to serve as a basis for negotiations between social partners. According to its projections, the deficit would reach 15 billion euros in 2035 and 30 billion in 2045 if no additional reforms are implemented. In 2023, a surplus of 8,5 billion euros was recorded, but this is explained by cyclical effects linked to inflation and the...

France’s latest pensions battle could ignite fresh political crisis

President Emmanuel Macron braved strikes and street protests to force through a deeply unpopular reform in 2023 raising France's retirement age by two years to 64, saying it was the only way to keep the generous but costly pension system afloat. Now an assessment this week by the country's independent public audit office on the size of the pension deficit could rekindle debate about the divisive reform and plunge Macron's fragile, debt-laden government back into crisis. Francois Bayrou, Macron's latest prime minister, requested...

Lithuania’s planned second pillar reforms alarm pensions industry

Proposed changes to Lithuania’s quasi-mandatory second pillar pensions system have been widely criticised as a threat to the system as a whole. The government – a coalition led by the centre-left Social Democrats – said the aim is to increase the attractiveness and flexibility of the second pillar, ensure the voluntary involvement of participants and employers, and balance financial incentives. At present, there is automatic enrolment, with a limited ability to opt out. The changes include abolishing auto-enrolment, instead encouraging the public to...

Kenya. Tax reforms usher in new era of retirement security

Kenyans can now contribute more towards their pension without significantly reducing their disposable income following the passing of the Tax Laws (Amendment) Act 2024. The new reforms, which came into effect in December last year, signify a new era of retirement security with a focus on financial stability and healthcare planning, as discussed at a pension stakeholder workshop in Nairobi over the weekend. According to John Keah, the Assistant Director of Market Conduct and Industry Development at the Retirement Benefits Authority...

Social Security Programs and Retirement around the World: The Effects of Reforms on Retirement Behavior

By Axel Börsch-Supan & Courtney Coile Employment among older men and women has increased dramatically in recent years, reversing a downward trend in the closing decades of the twentieth century. Social Security Programs and Retirement around the World examines how changing retirement incentives have reshaped labor force participation trends among older workers. The chapters feature country-specific analyses for Belgium, Canada, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States. They find that while there is significant heterogeneity...

Chile’s Pension Reform Makes a Case for Political Compromise

Last week, Chile’s Congress broke a decade-long impasse and approved a pension reform, a flashpoint in Chilean politics. The green light represents a legislative victory for President Gabriel Boric in the last full year of his administration. However, while Boric can claim that his government will leave a meaningful legacy, he’s giving up a central point in his reform agenda: the elimination of the Pension Fund Administrators (AFPs). The approved reform differs significantly from the government’s initial proposal submitted in November 2022,...

Challenges and concerns surrounding China’s retirement age reform

By China Labour Bulletin China is currently grappling with a pressing demographic challenge, marked by record-low birth rates and low retirement ages, leading to a continuous decline in the working-age population. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the working-age population dropped to 61.3% in 2023, down from 62% the previous year. The shrinking workforce and ageing population are increasingly straining China’s pension system. Current projections indicate that, without intervention, the social security system’s resources will be depleted by 2035. In response to...

January 2025

Allianz Global Pension Report 2025: Time to walk the talk

By Allianz Research  Allianz published the third edition of its “Global Pension Report”, which analyzes 71 pension systems around the globe with the help of the company's own “Allianz Pension Index” (API). The indicator consists of three pillars: analysis of the demographic and fiscal situation, and an assessment of the sustainability (e.g. financing and contribution periods) and adequacy (e.g. coverage and pension levels) of the pension system. A total of 40 parameters are taken into account, with scores between 1...

Chilean Senate approves pension reform

After a debate of almost 10 hours, followed from the stands by social organizations, the upper house adopted the initiative early this morning by 40 votes in favor and only seven against. “We have been able to build a path of agreements and respect for the word given,” said the Minister of Labor and promoter of the proposal, Jeannette Jara, who pointed out that the project will benefit more than three million people. Senator Isabel Allende, of the Socialist Party, highlighted...