October 2018

How Persistent Low Returns Will Shape Saving and Retirement

By Olivia S Mitchell,‎ Robert Clark,‎ Raimond Maurer Financial market developments over the past decade have undermined what was once thought to be conventional wisdom about saving, investment, and retirement spending. How Persistent Low Returns Will Shape Saving and Retirement explores how the weak capital market performance predicted for the next several years will shape pension saving, investment, and decumulation plans. Academics, policymakers, and industry leaders debate alternative strategies to cope with these challenges globally, as economic growth remains slow...

The Causal Mechanism of Financial Education: Evidence from Mediation Analysis

By Fenella Carpena (Oslo Business School) & Bilal Zia (World Bank - Development Research Group (DECRG)) This paper uses a field experiment in India with multiple financial education treatments to investigate the causal mechanisms between financial education and financial behavior. Focusing on the mediating role of financial literacy, the paper proposes a broader definition of financial knowledge that includes three dimensions: numeracy skills, financial awareness, and attitudes toward personal finance. The analysis then employs causal mediation analysis to investigate the proportion...

Retirement Savings Inequality: Different Effects of Earnings Shocks, Portfolio Selections, and Employer Contributions by Worker Earnings Level

By Joelle Saad-Lessler (The New School for Social Research), Teresa Ghilarducci (Schwartz Center for Economic Policy Analysis (SCEPA); The New School for Social Research), Gayle Reznik (U.S. Social Security Administration) Changes in accumulated retirement savings, particularly in employer-sponsored defined contribution (DC) plan balances, differ by worker’s earnings levels. Earnings shocks, portfolio diversification, and employer contributions to worker’s DC plans affect retirement savings for lower earners more than for higher earners. The authors match Survey of Income and Program Participation data...

Life Quality and Health Costs in Late Retirement

By Yuanshan Cheng (Winthrop University), Philip Gibson (Winthrop University), Tao Guo (William Paterson University) Individuals are living longer due to the advancement of medical technology and nutrition quality. Are the elderly enjoying retirement in those extended years with good quality of life, or, are they simply alive? Using data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and the Consumption and Activities Mail Survey (CAMS), this study contributes to the literature by presenting empirical evidence on how individuals spend time in...

September 2018

Financial Literacy: Liberalism, Decision-Making and Social Welfare

By Gordon L. Clark (Oxford University - Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment) Financial literacy is a program for enhancing individuals’ decision-making and an assumption made about the sovereignty of the individual. In its most optimistic form, financial literacy would empower individuals to achieve their financial goals and objectives. It would do so by providing individuals the concepts for effective decision-making in a world subject to financial risk and uncertainty. The logic underpinning this vision is explained arguing that...

Endowment Effects and Usage of Financial Products: Field Evidence from Malawi

By Xavier Giné (World Bank - Development Research Group (DECRG)), Jessica Goldberg (University of Maryland, Department of Economics) When offered a choice between two savings accounts, prior account holders are significantly less likely to switch to a cheaper account, compared with new subjects without a prior account. While 49 percent of account holders retained their original, expensive accounts, none of the new subjects who opened an account chose the expensive one. This finding is consistent with the "endowment effect." Exploiting...

Predicting Retirement Savings Using Survey Measures of Exponential-Growth Bias and Present Bias

By Gopi Shah Goda (Stanford University), Matthew Levy (London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Department of Economics), Colleen Flaherty Manchester (University of Minnesota), Aaron Sojourner (University of Minnesota; IZA Institute of Labor Economics), Joshua Tasoff (Claremont Colleges - Claremont Graduate University) In a nationally-representative sample, we predict retirement savings using survey-based elicitations of exponential-growth bias (EGB) and present bias (PB). We find that EGB, the tendency to neglect compounding, and PB, the tendency to value the present...

Medium-Run Implications of Changing Demographic Structures for the Macro-Economy

By Yunus Aksoy (Birkbeck, University of London),Henrique S. Basso (Birkbeck College, University of London) & Ron Smith (Birkbeck College) In the decade since the onset of the financial crisis, the disappointing recovery has sparked renewed concern about the medium-run outlook for advanced economies. Rather than returning to the pre-crisis trend, output has continued to diverge from it. It is difficult to know whether this is a cyclical phenomenon, a slow recovery towards steady state, or a secular change in the...

Retirement Savings Policy: Past, Present, and Future

By Michael P. Barry "Mike brings to this work his comprehensive experience and consummate technical talent in a beautifully readable book. A treasure." --Frank Cummings, Former Adjunct Lecturer in Law at UVA Law School, Columbia Law School, NYU Law School, and ALI-ABA Retirement Savings Policy reviews the basic policies that govern retirement savings plans, and their real world application, focusing on the key issues of finance, taxation, fiduciary conduct, and employee choice. The discussion is framed around the three fundamental challenges confronting...

2018 Retirement preparedness survey: A Generational Challenge

By Prudential The U.S. retirement landscape has changed dramatically over the past few decades. Fewer workers today are eligible to receive a pension and instead must save for their own retirements, typically through workplace savings plans. Replacement rates for Social Security are declining due to the increase in the “full retirement age.”1 Income is becoming less predictable, thanks in part to new employment models. Health care costs are increasing, and so is longevity—which means workers today don’t just have more...