March 2024

Little planning for looming retirement crisis, BlackRock chief warns

The chief executive of the world’s largest asset manager is warning of a future “retirement crisis”, as pension savings fail to keep up with life-extending medical breakthroughs. In his annual letter to investors, the BlackRock chief executive, Larry Fink, said that establishing “a secure, well-earned retirement” would be one of the greatest economic challenges to face the US in the mid-21st century. The boss of BlackRock, which manages about $10tn (£7.4tn) in assets, including retirement funds, praised medical advances, including obesity drugs such...

Australia. New Law Boosts Affordable, Accessible Financial Advice

Today, the Albanese Government has introduced the first tranche of legislation to deliver its comprehensive package of reforms to ensure Australians have access to quality and affordable financial advice. There are over five million Australians at or approaching retirement who need assistance to navigate the pension and superannuation systems. Unfortunately, the average cost of financial advice puts professional advice out of reach for many Australians. The Treasury Laws Amendment (Delivering Better Financial Outcomes and Other Measures) Bill 2024 implements reforms which...

The Riccati Tontine: How to Satisfy Regulators on Average

By Moshe A. Milevsky & T. S. Salisbury This paper presents a new type of modern accumulation-based tontine, called the Riccati tontine, named after two Italians: mathematician Jacobo Riccati (b. 1676, d. 1754) and financier Lorenzo di Tonti (b. 1602, d. 1684). The Riccati tontine is yet another way of pooling and sharing longevity risk, but is different from competing designs in two key ways. The first is that in the Riccati tontine, the representative investor is expected -- although...

Childhood Experience and Expected Sources of Income in Old Age

By Huabin Bian, Fei Jin, Qingfu Liu & Yiuman Tse This paper uses the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) database to explore the impact of family relationships in childhood (CFR) and economic conditions in childhood (CEC) on awareness of income sources in old age (AOAIS). We find that people whose family relationships in childhood were harmonious have passive AOAIS, whereas those with favorable economic conditions in childhood demonstrate proactive AOAIS. CFR affects AOAIS through family values, while CEC influences...

Japan. World’s largest pension fund to resume foreign stock lending

Japan’s Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) has confirmed it will resume foreign stock lending after it first suspended the practice in December 2019. In the future, the fund intends to “promptly proceed” with specific practical measures such as the selection of foreign stock lending agents by asset management organisations. However, GPIF does not intend to carry out lending of domestic stocks. The fund will resume its activities in foreign stock lending (securities loan management) with a number of foreign stock lending initiatives. GPIF...

US. Around 20% of people have no retirement savings, survey finds

The AARP and the Ad Council launched a campaign called “This is Pretirement” to help encourage people to seriously think about their retirement plans. “The idea of creating a new campaign to give people small, actionable steps, to really get their retirement savings on track but remove that shame and fear, which is all over us when it really comes to retirement savings,” Mary Liz Burns with the AARP said. “You know, we did a financial trends survey, we’ve been doing it since the pandemic,”...

US. Meet the typical retiree: A married woman in her 70s living on $30,000 a year in Maine or Florida

The majority of America's retirees are married, female, and have just a high school diploma. Retirees in the US have an average income of around $35,000. Florida, New Hampshire, and Main's populations all have a big share of retirees.   Baby boomers are in their retirement era. Of the generation born between 1946 and 1964, per Pew Research, less than 20% of Americans over the age of 65 were employed as of 2023. However, that's more than double the share of...

February 2024

Can ChatGPT Plan Your Retirement?: Generative AI and Financial Advice

By Andrew W. Lo & Jillian Ross We identify some of the most pressing issues facing the adoption of large language models (LLMs) in practical settings, and propose a research agenda to reach the next technological inflection point in generative AI. We focus on four challenges facing most LLM applications: domain-specific expertise, an ability to tailor that expertise to a user’s unique situation, trustworthiness and adherence to the user’s moral and ethical standards, and conformity to regulatory guidelines and...

Is This Big Risk Lurking in Your Social Security Claiming Math?

By: John Manganaro     ThinkAdvisor published the latest in an ongoing series of Social Security claiming case studies earlier this month, finding the optimal claiming scenario for the sample married couple at hand would be to draw their benefits earlier than the maximum claiming age of 70. That result, based mainly on the fact that the couple had a highly uneven earnings history and a small but meaningful gap in longevity expectations, surprised some readers, and it sparked a number of insightful discussions with both...

AI’s impact can’t be overstated – BlackRock and Invesco execs

By COURTNEY DEGEN   Artificial intelligence will have a tremendous impact on the economy, healthcare and other industries, executives from BlackRock and Invesco said Feb. 12 at the Exchange ETF conference in Miami Beach, Fla. "It's hard to overstate the impact of AI on the economy (and) on different industries," said Jay Jacobs, U.S. head of thematics and active equity ETFs at BlackRock. AI is what Jacobs called a "platform technology," meaning "it is going to bring other industries into the fold that maybe don't even exist...