August 2022

US. How to reform Social Security to ensure a sustainable future

According to the Social Security Administration, approximately 56 million people depend on Social Security (OASI) for their retirement. For about half of older adults, it provides at least 50% of their income, and for one in four older adults, it provides at least 90% of their income. In addition, it offers social insurance protection to workers who become disabled and to families whose breadwinner dies. In July, the Social Security Board of Trustees reported that Social Security benefits will be...

New York City pension fund returns plunge in difficult year

The five pension funds within the $239.5 billion New York City Retirement System each posted negative returns for the fiscal year ended June 30, ranging from -7.17% to -9.77%, according to data posted on the website of Brad Lander, the city comptroller and fiduciary for the five pension funds. The individual pension fund results are in sharp contrast to the returns for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2021 when all posted net results ranging from 24.8% to 28%. Mr. Lander reported...

Renewable energy’s charm still growing for investors

Amid a just-passed U.S. climate bill unleashing record investment in domestic clean energy, energy transition efforts in the U.K. and Europe well underway and energy security concerns raised by the Ukraine war, institutional investors seem poised for the next level of investing in renewables. "Over the last year alone, we've witnessed the highest levels of interest in renewables we've ever seen from institutional investors," said Matt Setchell, co-head of Octopus Energy Generation's fund management team in London. Part of Octopus...

Planets aligning for U.S. pension funds to offload their liability risk

U.S. corporate pension plans have reached a sweet spot in their derisking journeys that will enable them to pull the trigger on pension risk transfer transactions, including plan terminations. Their funding levels have risen primarily due to rising interest rates that are lowering pension liabilities even as plan assets have fallen due to the challenging return environment that has characterized the first half of 2022. "For corporate pension plans, this what they've been waiting for, for years," said Michael Moran, New...

Changes in Retirement Savings During the COVID Pandemic

By Elena Derby, Lucas Goodman, Kathleen Mackie & Jacob Mortenson This paper documents changes in retirement saving patterns at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. We construct a large panel of US tax data, including tens of millions of person-year observations, and measure retirement savings contributions and withdrawals. We use these data to document several important changes in retirement savings patterns during the pandemic relative to prior years, and we compare these results to changes in savings patterns during the...

U.S. $7T Retirement Crisis Is Only Getting Worse

Americans have been warned for years of an impending retirement crisis. Yet the situation is getting worse. Even when everything was going right — inflation was nonexistent, interest rates were low and stocks were in an extended bull market — there was a multi-trillion dollar savings shortfall. Read more Inflation Moderately Pressures US Public Pension Liabilities Then came a pandemic, war in Europe, decades-high inflation, the fastest rate-hiking cycle since the early 1980s and fears of a recession. The resulting market turmoil...

Inflation Moderately Pressures US Public Pension Liabilities

The high inflation environment in the US is likely to have only moderately negative effects on state and local government public pension plan liabilities via automatic cost of living adjustment (COLA) mechanisms but will pressure plans through weakening asset performance and rising payroll costs, Fitch Ratings says. Market value smoothing and supplemental pension contributions by some governments this year from budget surpluses will help partially mitigate these challenges. While automatic COLA provisions differ across plans, those plans that provide them...

Commentary: The U.S. and Mexico need a binational retirement policy

By Jacqueline L. Angel & Emma Aguila Population aging is complicating retirement planning for Americans, and specifically for immigrants. As a 2017 National Academy of Science study showed, Mexican immigrants who arrive at older ages often struggle to support themselves in the United States and often consider returning home. Yet we lack a binational retirement policy that addresses those concerns. We need bilateral agreements that enable Medicare coverage in Mexico, and a Social Security “totalization” agreement allowing Mexican workers in the...

U.S. public pensions suffer worst year since the financial crisis

An ugly start to the year for stocks and bonds has put a dent in the retirement plans of millions of state and local employees. U.S. public pension plans saw big losses during this year’s market rout, with median losses totaling 7.9% for the year ended June 30, according to data from institutional investment consultant Wilshire Associates. This marked worst annual performance — and first annual decline — for public retirement systems since 2009, according to Wilshire's data. Plans worth over $1...

Clorox to terminate primary U.S. pension plan

The Clorox Co., Oakland, Calif., is terminating is primary U.S. pension plan. The household products company's board of directors approved the resolution May 17 to terminate the plan, according to its 10-K filing with the SEC on Wednesday. The company plans to settle the plan with a combination of lump sums to participants and the purchase of a group annuity contract from an insurance company to transfer the remaining assets and liabilities, the filing said. The completion of the termination is expected...