March 2018

19Mar

The Mortality Effects of Retirement: Evidence from Social Security Eligibility at Age 62

By Maria D. Fitzpatrick, Timothy J. Moore Social Security eligibility begins at age 62, and approximately one third of Americans immediately claim at that age. We examine whether age 62 is associated with a discontinuous change in aggregate mortality, a key measure of population health. Using mortality data that covers the entire U.S. population and includes exact dates of birth and death, we document a robust two percent increase in male mortality immediately after age 62. The change in female...

March 19, 2018
Aging, Articles
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19Mar

Social Security Claiming Decisions: Survey Evidence

By John B. Shoven, Sita Nataraj Slavov & David A. Wise While research shows that there are large gains in lifetime wealth from delaying claiming Social Security, most people claim at or before full retirement age. We fielded an original, nationally representative survey to gain insight into people’s rationales for their Social Security claiming decisions, their satisfaction with their past claiming decisions, and how they financed any gap between retirement and claiming. Common rationales for claiming Social Security before full...

March 19, 2018
Aging, Articles, Pension design, Savings, ,
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14Mar

The troubled state of pension systems in Latin America

By Augusto de la Torre and Heinz P. Rudolph A quarter of a century since Chilean-style pension reforms swept Latin America, the state of the region’s pension systems is worrisome. Old and new problems are increasingly rearing their ugly heads, some setting off serious alarms, all posing thorny political and technical challenges. Pension issues have therefore once again taken center stage in the policy debate. This paper provides a bird’s eye view of the quilt-like landscape of contributory pensions systems...

March 14, 2018
Articles, Regulation, Slider-Left, System Sustainability, ,
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11Mar

Evaluating Retirement Strategies: A Utility-Based Approach

By Javier Estrada (IESE Business School) & Mark Kritzman (Windham Capital Management) Retirees need to make two critical financial decisions, namely, the withdrawal rate and the asset allocation of their portfolios. We propose a methodology that retirees, and particularly advisors, could use to make these decisions in an optimal way. We introduce a new variable, the coverage ratio, and a theoretical approach, based on utility. Our approach can be used to make optimal decisions during both the accumulation and the...

March 11, 2018
Articles, Investing, Savings, , , ,
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11Mar

Causes and Characteristics of Population Aging

By Kyounghoon Park (The Bank of Korea) Korea’s level of population aging remains lower than the OECD average. However, the pace of population aging in Korea is faster than that of many other member countries, as its total fertility rate is the lowest among OECD countries while its life expectancy exceeds the OECD average. Using panel data from OECD member countries, this paper divides the common causes of population aging in OECD countries into declining fertility rate and increasing life...

March 11, 2018
Aging, Articles, Labor Market, , ,
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08Mar

Old-age Labor Force Participation in Germany: What Explains the Trend Reversal among Older Men? And What the Steady Increase among Women?

By Axel Börsch-Supan, Irene Ferrari The aim of this paper is to illustrate for Germany the factors that may explain the U-shaped pattern of older men’s labor force participation - from a long declining trend that began in the early 1970s to an increasing trend starting from the late 1990s - and at the same time the steady increase in older women’s labor force participation. In a first step, we provide graphical evidence of the trends of various variables which...

March 8, 2018
Aging, Articles, Labor Market, ,
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05Mar

Disclosure of costs, charges and investments in DC occupational pensions

UK Department for Work and Pensions This paper forms the Government’s response to a consultation on the draft Occupational Pension Schemes (Administration and Disclosure) (Amendment) Regulations 2018, which ran from the 26 October 2017 to 7 December 2017. The draft Regulations were designed to: introduce requirements for certain occupational schemes offering money purchase benefits to publish charge and transaction cost information, disclose this to members and others, and tell members where to find it; and introduce requirements for the same...

March 5, 2018
Articles, Pension design, Regulation, Savings, , ,
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05Mar

Growing Pension Deficits and the Expenditure Decisions of UK Companies

By Philip Bunn (Bank of England), Paul Mizen (University of Nottingham; Bank of England; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)) & Pawel Smietanka (Bank of England) Large deficits have opened up on defined benefit pension schemes in the United Kingdom since 2007, and at the same time investment expenditure has been subdued; this is a common phenomenon in other countries too. We use privileged access to a unique new data set from The Pensions Regulator and two identification schemes to...

March 5, 2018
Articles, Investing, Regulation, , ,
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05Mar

How Persistent Low Expected Returns Alter Optimal Life Cycle Saving, Investment, and Retirement Behavior

By Vanya Horneff, Raimond Maurer & Olivia S. Mitchell This paper explores how an environment of persistent low returns influences saving, investing, and retirement behaviors, as compared to what in the past had been thought of as more “normal” financial conditions. Our calibrated lifecycle dynamic model with realistic tax, minimum distribution, and Social Security benefit rules produces results that agree with observed saving, work, and claiming age behavior of U.S. households. In particular, our model generates a large peak at...

March 5, 2018
Aging, Articles, Investing, Savings, , ,
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February 2018

26Feb

Financial Economics Principles Applied to Public Pension Plans

By Edward Bartholomew (Independent), Jeremy Gold (Jeremy Gold Pensions), David G. Pitts (Independent) & Larry Pollack (Independent) Working from basic principles of economics, financial economics, and public finance, we develop implications for the financial management of public pension plans. We address the measurement of plan liabilities and cost, funding, investment of plan assets, financial reporting, benefit design and risk sharing. Our analysis seeks to maximize efficiency and preserve intergenerational equity. We conclude that full funding based on default-free discount rates...

February 26, 2018
Articles, Management, Pension design,
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