January 2022

Germany’s Aging Population Means 5 Million Fewer Workers

Germany’s population is aging and the impact is starting to get real, according to Holger Schaefer, senior economist with the IW economic institute in Cologne. In 2022, the workforce is set to shrink by more than 300,000 people as more reach retirement age than start working, and it will get worse in the coming years, he said on Twitter. By the end of the decade, there could be more than 5 million fewer workers, unless immigration can plug the gap. Read more...

The great population growth slowdown

At the stroke of midnight on January 1, New York City welcomed its first new inhabitant of 2022: Leyla Gessel Tzunun Garcia, born as the new year began at Coney Island Hospital in Brooklyn. Read also India’s jobs crisis is more serious than it seems Given changing trends around population and fertility, though, there’s less competition to become the first baby of the new year than there used to be. Fewer babies were born in New York City in 2020 than...

Can China’s creaky health insurance scheme withstand its ageing population and coronavirus?

For two decades, 65-year-old farmer Che Xiuyue had been troubled by osteophytes, bony lumps that grew on her knees, causing her unbearable pain and stiffness. Read also Commentary: China and ESG — a delicate balance In 2019, unable to stomach the discomfort any longer, she finally had surgery to treat them. But when she received the bill of 10,000 yuan (US$1,569), Che was overcome by a new wave of distress. Read also Taiwan fund to issue $2.3 bln climate change pension mandate,...

December 2021

Aging Germany Is Running Out of Workers, Putting Europe’s Largest Economy at Risk

Germany has long been ahead of the curve as a source of technical innovation and manufacturing. Now it is leading much of the developed world toward a demographic cliff edge that could put a damper on Europe’s largest economy, raising pressure on its pension system and pushing inflation higher for years to come. Economists forecast that Germany’s workforce could peak as soon as 2023 and then shrink by up to five million people by the end of the decade. While...

US population growth in first year of Covid was lowest in history

The US recorded the lowest rate of population growth in its history in the first year of the coronavirus pandemic, according to the US Census Bureau. The year from July 2020 to July 2021 was also the first time since 1937 that the population of the US grew by fewer than 1 million people. Only 392,665 people were added to the count, growth of barely 0.1%. The figures released on Tuesday would appear to indicate that although tens of millions of...

Japan’s Lesson for the World: Robots Won’t Save Us

Japan affords a preview of what the future of the United States, Australia, and Western Europe will become unless meaningful steps are taken to ensure that a nation’s relevance is measured by how it creates lives of dignity for its citizenry. But seeing this relevance has become difficult as much of the luster has gone from Japan studies. Wistful comments about heady days during the 1980s, when scholars of Japan were in demand, are still heard. But China now...

The OECD warns of the pressure of aging on the financial sustainability of pensions in Spain

The body warns, at a general level and without specifying any country, that the future of pension systems depends on the decision being made to raise contributions, extend the retirement age or reduce pensions. A pensioner during a demonstration of this group in Bilbao. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has warned of the impact that the aging of the population will have on the “financial sustainability” of the Spanish pension system, according to the annex for Spain of the biennial...

Why the demographic transition is speeding up

Why the demographic transition is speeding up

As birth announcements go, it was momentous. On November 24th India’s government declared that the country’s fertility rate had dropped to 2.0 children per woman. That is below the replacement rate—at which new births are sufficient to maintain a steady population—and puts India in the company of many richer economies. Indeed, fertility rates are now below replacement level in all four “ bric” countries (Brazil, Russia, India and China), with the population probably falling in Russia and China. It...

Pensions protected during COVID-19 pandemic but ageing challenges persist, says OECD

The COVID-19 pandemic has taken a heavy toll among elderly people although retirees have seen their pension payments well protected across OECD countries. Future pension entitlements have also been well protected thanks to the exceptional policy response to the crisis, according to a new OECD report. Pensions at a Glance 2021 says however that the long-term financial pressure from ageing persists. Pension finances deteriorated during the pandemic due to lost contributions, and shortfalls have been mainly covered by state budgets....

Priorities for social security Trends, challenges and solutions

Priorities for social security Trends, challenges and solutions

By ISSA This report is the result of collective efforts by the professional staff of the Social Security Development branch of the General Secretariat of the International Social Security Association and external experts. Staff were assigned responsibility for authoring specific chapters and sections for this seminal report. Get the book here 664 views