September 2023

Racial and Ethnic Differences in Longevity Perceptions and Implications for Financial Decision-Making

By Abigail Hurwitz, Olivia S. Mitchell & Orly Sade  Inaccurate perceptions regarding life expectancy can lead to suboptimal financial decisions with long-term consequences, including undersaving prior to retirement, and overspending during retirement. As prior research suggests that Covid-19 mortality has disproportionately harmed those with low incomes, African Americans, and Hispanics in the United States, we seek to determine whether subjective survival perceptions among these groups changed in a manner consistent with observed outcomes. We fielded two online experimental surveys of...

US. What Public Pensions Could Do for Private-Sector Retirees

Once upon a time, before the era of 401(k) plans and takeover capitalists eviscerating many company pension funds, defined-benefit pension plans were America’s primary supplement to Social Security. Back then, the actuarial assumptions were generally reasonable, even for the public pension systems, before some of the latter strayed down the path of unsustainable benefits promises and fishy math. Needless to say, times have changed, and nowadays the vast majority of Americans have very few guarantees of lifetime income other...

August 2023

Helping people overcome their lack of ‘longevity literacy’

Longevity risk continues to be a hot topic for advisors, especially as their clients continue to suffer from a lack of “longevity literacy.“ The TIAA Institute and the Global Financial Literacy Excellence Center at the George Washington University School of Business released data last week showing that American adults are overwhelming unaware of both their potential lifespans and the amount of money needed to cover them. Respondents were asked to identify the likelihood among 65-year-olds of living to 90 and the likelihood of...

Longevity Risk and Capital Markets: The 2021-22 Update

By David P. Blake, Malene Kallestrup Lamb & Jesper Rangvid  This Special Issue of the Journal of Demographic Economics contains 10 contributions to the academic literature all dealing with longevity risk and capital markets. Draft versions of the papers were presented at Longevity 16: The Sixteenth International Longevity Risk and Capital Markets Solutions Conference that was held in Helsingør near Copenhagen on 13-14 August 2021. It was hosted by PerCent at Copenhagen Business School and the Pensions Institute at City,...

July 2023

Mortality Regressivity and Pension Design

By Youngsoo Jang, Svetlana Pashchenko & Ponpoje Porapakkarm How should we compare welfare across pension systems in presence of differential mortality? A commonly used standard utilitarian criterion implicitly favors the long-lived over the short-lived. We investigate under what conditions this ranking is reversed. We clearly distinguish between the redistribution along mortality and income dimensions, and thus between mortality and income progressivity. We show that when mortality is independent of income, mortality progressivity can be optimal only when (i) there is...

Longevity Is Being Redefined And It’s Going to Impact How We Work, Live And Play

We are just about to be swept into some significant shifts in how we live thanks to aging demographics. With so many of us moving into the latter half of our lives and our life expectancies extended (we expect to live to our 90s or older), this will affect how we live and function as a society in North America and in most advanced, Westernized countries. And there are already companies, think tanks, venture funds and government programs–many of...

June 2023

The State of Longevity 2021

By Daragh Campbell  2021 demonstrated that research into antiaging therapies is going from strength-to-strength, and our review of longevity clinical trials shows this clearly. As different areas of research continue to gain traction (cellular reprogramming, in particular), we wanted to analyse exactly how the longevity clinical trial market performed last year. In order to assess clinical trial data across 2021, we interrogated the Longevity.Technology database, which consists of over 250 longevity companies (and growing all the time!). This was used to...

May 2023

Longevity, A $56 Trillion Opportunity. With Andrew Scott

In unguarded moments, politicians occasionally wish that retired people would "hurry up and die", on account of the ballooning costs of pensions and healthcare. Andrew J Scott confronts this attitude in his book, “The 100-Year Life”, which has been sold a million copies in 15 languages, and was runner up in both the FT/McKinsey and Japanese Business Book of the Year Awards. Scott joined the London Futurists Podcast to discuss his arguments. Scott is a professor of economics at the...

Can the Australian Judicial System Meet the Structural Challenges of Future Population Change?

By Brian Opeskin  This article examines the impact of population change on the evolution of the Australian judicial system. Through four case studies, it argues that demography is an important but overlooked lens through which to understand pressures on the judicial system over coming decades. The case studies examine the impact of increasing life expectancy on judicial tenure; of population ageing on judicial pensions; of international migration on judicial diversity; and of population redistribution on the spatial delivery of justice...

Loneliness can impact longevity & quality of life, claims study

Vivek Murthy, the US surgeon general, recently warned that "being socially disconnected" has a similar effect on mortality as smoking up to 15 cigarettes a day. This statement was widely reported in the media, including in the Washington Post, the Times and the Daily Mail. But where does this "15 cigarettes a day" figure come from? Dr Murthy is referring to a study published in 2010 that explored social relationships and mortality rates. The researchers combined the data from 148...