September 2023

Minimum eligibility age for social pensions and house hold poverty: Evidence from Mexico

By David Escamilla Guerrero, Clemente Avila Parra & Oscar Gálvez Soriano This paper examines the impact of social pensions on old-age poverty. To achieve causal identification, we leverage the reduction in the minimum eligibility age of Mexico's flagship non-means-tested social pension program. We find that the program's expansion significantly reduced extreme poverty, mainly among indigenous seniors and in rural areas. However, it had negligible effects on labor force participation, suggesting that social pensions were not effective in ensuring minimum...

The Demographic Outlook: 2022 to 2052

By Congressional Budget Office The size of the U.S. population, as well as its age and sex composition, affect the economy and the federal budget. For example, the size of the working-age population affects the number of people employed; likewise, the size of the population age 65 or older affects the number of beneficiaries of Social Security and other federal programs. The Congressional Budget Office projects the population in future years by projecting fertility, net immigration, and mortality. (In this report,...

Contingency Fund: Individual Retiree Risk Management

By Jason Branning & Ray Grubbs  The goal of this article is to provide an actionable framework for contingency planning for individual retirees through the modern retirement theory (MRT) perspective. Contingency planning encompasses a retiree’s risk management processes, techniques, and strategies, along with a choice architecture. Our goal is to provide insights that are mitigating to those conditions within longevity that can impair or impact a retiree’s ability to remain retired. We offer three risk categories—known, unknown, and unknowable—as an...

Family Planning Confronts Delayed Retirement in China: The Retirement Intention of Only-Child Parents

By Xiao Yu, Yingdong Xu, Yue Sun & Luyao Jiao By establishing a labor-retirement model within China’s unique intergenerational support culture and one-child policy, this study provides evidence of the one-child policy’s early effect on individuals’ retirement decisions. This finding highlights a contradiction between the retirement intentions of the 1960s and 1970s generations, who are most affected by the one-child policy, and the delayed retirement policy of Chinese government. Utilizing data from the CHARLS 2011-2018 and employing OLS, IV, and...

Exploring the Impact of Information Environment on ESG Disclosure Behavior: Evidence from National Pensions and Foreign Investors

By Jong Won Choi, Suk Hyun & Ju Hyoung Park  This study examines the impact of institutional investors on the environmental, social, and governance (ESG) disclosures of Korean companies listed on Bloomberg from 2011 to 2020. We find that while institutional investors encourage general ESG disclosure, they do not influence materiality-based ESG disclosure. Interestingly, materiality-based ESG disclosures decrease when institutional investors are major shareholders, suggesting a potential decline in disclosure quality. The study also finds a positive relationship between materiality-based...

August 2023

El sistema de pensiones en Chile: institucionalidad, gasto público y sostenibilidad financiera

Por Andrea Betancor En este informe se estudia la evolución del sistema de pensiones de Chile en el período 2000-2017 analizando su institucionalidad, su gasto público y su sostenibilidad financiera. Forma parte de un proyecto de la Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL) que busca estudiar los sistemas pensionales de la región, especialmente en lo relacionado con sus efectos sobre las finanzas públicas y sobre su sostenibilidad futura. Libro completo “aquí”

El camino hacia adelante para el Sistema de Ahorro para el Retiro en México

Por IMCO El camino hacia adelante para el sistema de ahorro para el retiro en México”, es un proyecto realizado por la KAS México en coordinación con el  IMCO. A través de un taller de discusión estructurada con expertos en el tema de pensiones, se buscó delinear y priorizar las reformas al sistema de pensiones necesarias dentro del siguiente lustro para mejorar su desempeño en beneficio de todos los trabajadores del país. El documento expone y explica la estructura de los...

Las Pensiones Solidarias: Análisis de una Reforma Exitosa.

Por Osvaldo Larrañaga, Osvaldo Larrañaga & María Eugenia Rodríguez Este documento contiene un análisis detallado del sistema de pensiones solidarias y está organizado en cinco secciones, además de esta introducción. En primer término, presenta una descripción de los montos, coberturas y requisitos de los beneficios incorporados en el Sistema de Pensiones Solidarias. En segundo lugar, recapitula la génesis de la política y su tramitación hasta que se convirtió en legislación social. A continuación, se detalla la implementación de la política...

Los Derechos de sucesión pensional en la Ley del Seguro Social

Por Verónica Lidia Martínez Martínez Partiendo de la conceptualización del beneficiario legal, su clasificación y los requisitos que deben cumplir, conforme a la Ley del Seguro Social, para que el Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social los inscriba y reconozca como beneficiarios del titular del derecho, en este trabajo se analizan los requisitos que deben observar los beneficiarios para acceder a los derechos de sucesión pensional y conservarlos en los seguros de riesgos de trabajo y vida, aunque se transgredan sus derechos...

Future of Jobs Report 2023

By World Economy Forum  The past three years have been shaped by a challenging combination of health, economic and geopolitical volatility combined with growing social and environmental pressures. These accelerating transformations have and continue to reconfigure the world's labour markets and shape the demand for jobs and skills of tomorrow, driving divergent economic trajectories within and across countries, in developing and developed economies alike. The Fourth Industrial Revolution, changing worker and consumer expectations, and the urgent need for a green...