August 2020

Job and Wage Losses in Informal Sector due to the COVID-19 Lockdown Measures in India

By Xavier Estupinan, Mohit Sharma This paper estimates the job and wage losses of workers, using the lens of informality, due to lockdown measures undertaken by the Government of India to tackle the spread of COVID-19. It focuses on the first two lockdowns when containment measures in India were most stringent in the world. We estimate that 104 million and 69.4 million informally employed workers were at risk of job loss in Lockdown 1.0 and Lockdown 2.0 respectively. Informal...

Pension System in Guinea Bissau: Key Challenges and Prospects for the Future

By Philippe Auffret The government of Guinea Bissau is considering implementing the pension fund included in the 2015 Budget Law. It requested a technical assistance from the World Bank to conduct an initial diagnostic of the pension system with a focus on the public service pension scheme. The objective of this note is an initial step to respond to this request. The analysis shows that it is not recommendable for Guinea Bissau to set up a pension fund for the...

COVID-19 Infections, Labour Market Shocks, and Subjective Well-Being

By Ferdi Botha, John P. Haisken-DeNew This is the first paper to present novel findings on how simultaneously (a) labour market shocks and (b) infections in the household, directly due to COVID-19, have impacted on life satisfaction and domain satisfactions. Using data from a world-wide online survey of almost 5,700 respondents across six countries, we estimate the associations of COVID-19-related labour market shocks and COVID-19 infection with life satisfaction and a range of domain satisfactions. Directly due to COVID-19,...

Life Insurance: The Savings Solution for the Thai Elderly

By sivalap sukpaiboonwat The main objective of this work is investigating life insurance is the alternative choice of savings for Thai elderly. The study uses primary data from research questionnaire by online survey from the 400 observations in December 2018. The statistics used in the analysis include descriptive statistics composed of the percentage. The research finds the first rank of financial planning is the bank deposit with 32.1 percent, the second rank is life insurance with 27.3 percent and...

Financial Knowledge Overconfidence and Early Withdrawals from Retirement Accounts

By Sunwoo T. Lee, Sherman D. Hanna Early distributions from retirement accounts could endanger future retirement income security, and the U.S. has restrictions to discourage them, including possible tax penalties. On the other hand, tapping one’s retirement assets may be rational when an individual encounters financial hardship. With the 2020 Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act), early distribution from retirement accounts became an even more attractive option to individuals. In this study, we examined factors related...

Study of an SB2 Beneficiary’s Pension Plan

By Enriqueta Mancilla-Redón, Carmen Lozano Arizmendi The individual account pension system established by the Social Security Act 1997 shows that the contributions of beneficiaries invested in retirement fund managers have had negative returns and the investment instrument in which the contributions of the retirement savings system are invested are not known. The objective of this study is to analyze the contributions in AFORES of an SB2 classification beneficiary invested in SIEFORES and the performance they have generated that the...

Pension tech for dummies

By Carlo Svaluto Moreolo When it comes to technological innovation in pensions the two buzzwords are blockchain and artificial intelligence. Blockchain is potentially a revolutionary technology that could significantly reduce the costs associated with pension administration and custody. Artificial intelligence – or more specifically machine learning tools – also promises to optimise many areas of the industry. They could be used to improve communications with pension fund members or to deliver better investment returns. Considerable investment is required to develop...

Where Did the Pre-COVID World Stand on Protecting the Seniors?

By Natalia Milovantseva, PhD By 2050, the elderly population is expected to reach 2 billion, with 80% living in low- and middle-income countries. In today’s COVID-19 pandemic reality, income and health support for these older adults is a critical concern. What have the world’s countries been doing to ensure that their elderly do not live in poverty? Are there national policies to ensure their health needs are adequately met? How are the countries helping working adults who are responsible...

G7 Pensions: ESG, SDGs, Green Growth and the Road to Camp David

By M. Nicolas J. Firzli The ‘COVID Crisis’ has accelerated the mainstreaming of SDG-driven investment, with pension board members (trustees) playing an increasingly active role across all asset classes, from Sacramento to Sydney: governments (debt) and CEOs (equity) are having to commit more seriously to pressing environmental, social and societal matters, or face the risk of abrupt divestment (Brazil, Facebook etc.). Beyond financial economics and investment policy, the advent of fiduciary capitalism will have a profound impact on the...

Public Pension Reforms and Fiscal Foresight: Narrative Evidence and Aggregate Implications

By Huixin Bi Sarah Zubairy We explore the evolution of pension policy across countries and investigate the macroeconomic impact of pension structural reforms in recent decades, in particular those with implementation delays. We first document chronological changes in pension policy for ten OECD countries between 1962 and 2017. The new data set uncovers that changes in pension policy come in waves, with a rapid expansion of pension systems between 1960s and 1980s followed by a wave of retrenchments since...