January 2021

The Shift to a Funded Social Security System: The Case of Argentina

By Joaquin Cottani & Gustavo Demarco The Argentine social security system has been modified a number of times since its creation in 1904. The pay-as-you-go system was adopted in 1954. The reform of 1969 established the system’s definitive structure, which remained substantially unchanged for more than twenty years. However, the system’s underlying financial problems led the government to undertake an integral reform of its social security program in 1993. The government adopted a mixed system by introducing private pensions into...

Disability pensions and social security reform : analysis of the Latin American experience

By Grushka, Carlos O. & Demarco, Gustavo This paper describes the disability pension arrangements prevailing in ten Latin American countries that reformed their pension systems. The analysis is limited to the topic of disability pensions, without attempting to evaluate other critical aspects such as the available infrastructure: handicapped access generally (ramps, blind cues), medical and nursing support, home care, and so on. The relative significance of disability pensions is highly dependant on these factors and, however, they are really limited...

Privatizing Social Security

By Martin Feldstein This volume represents the most important work to date on one of the pressing policy issues of the moment: the privatization of social security. Although social security is facing enormous fiscal pressure in the face of an aging population, there has been relatively little published on the fundamentals of essential reform through privatization. Privatizing Social Security fills this void by studying the methods and problems involved in shifting from the current system to one based on mandatory...

Retirement Savings in Mena

By Gustavo Demarco Public pensions are important in MENA, but their role as institutional investors remains uncertain in view of the sustainability problems that pension schemes are facing due to the over generosity of their promises. In addition to the gradual loss of reserves, portfolios are not very diversified and this, in turn, reveals a low level of professional management probably com bined with an absence of autonomy in the asset allocation process. An exception to this rule is the...

December 2020

Intergenerational Mobility of Health in India and Its Implications to Elderly Care

By E. Sownthara Rajan To understand the effect of education of children as an intervention to improve elderly health and suggest the sector of elderly who needs state support. This finding will help in locating a sector of elderly where the targeted geriatric care and elderly support can be provided. There is a prevalent conversation in academic literature about growing elderly population around the world which is estimated will be 22 per cent of the world population by 2050...

November 2020

Continuous-time Optimal Pension Indexing in Pay-as-You-Go Systems

By Oriol Roch Ageing population and economic crisis have placed pay-as-you-go pension systems in need of mechanisms to ensure its financial stability. In this paper, we consider optimal indexing of pensions as an instrument to cope with the financial imbalances typically found in these systems. Using dynamic programming techniques in a stochastic continuous-time framework, we compute the optimal pension index and portfolio strategy that best target indexing and liquidity objectives determined by the government. A numerical example is provided...

Pension and Health Services Utilization: Evidence from Social Pension Expansion in China

By Shanquan Chen, Xi Chen, Stephen Law, Henry Lucas, Shenlan Tang, Qian Long, Lei Xue and Zheng Wang The proportion of people aged 60 years or over is growing faster than other age groups. The well-being older adults depend heavily on their state of health. This study evaluates the effects of pensions on older adults' health service utilization, and estimates the size of pension required to influence such utilization. Using a nationally representative survey, the China Health and Retirement...

US. 5 Ways President Biden May Make Lasting Changes To Retirement

While President-elect Biden and a nation wait for President Trump to concede the election, focus turns to how a Biden administration will lead. Biden has put forth many policy initiatives, including significant changes to retirement savings and Social Security. His ability to implement his vision depends in large part on Georgia. Two Senate races are headed to run-off elections in January. It seems likely that at least one race will go to a Republican, giving the GOP a razor-thin...

Social Insurance, Demographics, and Rural-Urban Migration in China

By Neha Bairoliya, Ray Miller We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model to analyze the impact of social insurance policy and demographic changes on rural-urban migration in China. Quantitative analyses indicate that different social insurance programs not only have differential effects on net migration flows but also on the age and income distribution of migrants. Enrolling migrants in urban pensions discourages rural-urban migration at young ages and reverse migration in old-age. In contrast, urban health insurance incentivizes rural-urban migration...

October 2020

Changes to Household Retirement Savings Since 1989

By Andrew G. Biggs This report uses two new data sources to provide insights on the evolution of retirement savings over the past three decades and how future retirees may fare. First, the Federal Reserve’s Survey of Consumer Finances and Distributional Financial Accounts (DFA) provide estimates of both household savings in retirement accounts and any benefits households accrued under a traditionally defined benefit pension. The DFA data show that, from 1989 through 2016, household retirement savings increased for every...