January 2025

Pensions investment outlook 2025: U.S. policy uncertainty clouds road ahead

By Investment Managers The coming year will likely be characterized by three main drivers: the U.S.’s politically driven polices, structural economic 1 The implicit yield curve based on the floating rates associated with an interest rate swap. weaknesses and political uncertainty in Europe, and China’s restructuring of its troubled property market. Overall, our forecasts suggest global growth looks set to continue its 2024 pace of 3.2% in 2025, before easing in 2026 to 2.9%. This outlook could be compounded by the implementation...

The Looming Crisis: China’s Pension System Faces a Generational Challenge

By Jessica Huang China, a nation of immense scale and ambition, is in the grip of an urgent demographic crisis. Declining birth rates and rising life expectancy are rapidly aging the population. Within the next two decades, the number of retirement-age individuals is expected to surpass the entire population of the United States, with an estimated 402 million people over 60 by 2040—28% of China’s total population. This demographic shift is straining the workforce, social services, healthcare infrastructure, and economic productivity, marking...

US. More than 4 in 5 retirement plans have at least one regulatory ‘red flag’ violation

More than 4 in 5 workplace retirement plans in the U.S. (84%) have at least one regulatory “red flag” violation that could put them at risk of fines, legal penalties or fiduciary failure, according to consultant Abernathy Daley 401k Consultants. Of the nearly 765,000 defined contribution plans analyzed, 43% had at least one “regulatory infraction red flag” or RIRF, the most severe type of violation that could result in civil legal penalties, discovery leading to trial, or both, Abernathy said. RIRF...

Chile’s Congress approves reform to private pension system

Chile's Congress approved a reform to the country's controversial private pension system on Wednesday, clearing the way for the bill to be signed by President Gabriel Boric. With 110 votes in favor and 38 against, the reform includes increased employer contributions, raises the guaranteed minimum pension and modifies the country's private Chile's Pension Fund Administrators (AFP) system. Pension reform was a key campaign promise by Boric, who rode a wave of left-wing optimism to the presidency following mass protests against inequality. Chile's...

UK. Pensions experts react to government’s DB surplus plan

Pensions experts have largely welcomed new proposals from the government to allow surplus funds in DB schemes to be invested in the wider economy. It intends to allow part of a DB fund surplus to be returned to the employer for them to invest in their core business, or bolster pension-scheme members’ benefits. However, Rachel Vahey – head of public policy at AJ Bell – said in doing so, the government is “encouraging trustees to take risks with other people’s money”. TPR...

More Nigerians transfer pension savings into mortgage

More Nigerians  are relying on their pension savings to acquire residential mortgage as the number of Retirement Savings Account, RSA, holders that transferred part of their pension savings into residential mortgage increased by 65.03 per cent quarter on quarter, QoQ, to 3,804 in the third quarter of 2024, Q3’24 This form of transfers recorded 2,305 in the second quarter of 2024, Q2’24. According to the Pension Industry Performance Dashboard released by the National Pension Commission, PenCom, yesterday, the value of funds transferred in...

Perspectivas Sociales y del Empleo en el Mundo: Tendencias 2025

Por Organización Internacional del Trabajo El empleo mundial en 2024 creció en paralelo a la población activa, lo que mantuvo la tasa de desempleo mundial en el 5 por ciento, un nivel similar al de 2023. No obstante, el ritmo de crecimiento del empleo fue todavía demasiado débil para lograr una reducción sustancial de los déficits de trabajo decente que persisten en todo el mundo. Los jóvenes, en particular, soportan tasas de desempleo mucho más elevadas, cercanas al 12,6 por...

UK. Pension industry backs Reeves’ £160bn corporate pension release

The pensions industry has said it is willing to back the Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ plans to unlock up to £160bn in corporate surpluses if retirees are given “appropriate protection” by the government. Reeves and the Prime Minister Keir Starmer are set to meet with business leaders in the City of London today to outline pension reforms aimed at driving economic growth. Under the changes, trapped surplus funds in so-called final salary pension schemes will be freed up for investment, while trustees will be given more...

Dutch Pension Fund Seeks Divestment from BlackRock

A Dutch pension fund is considering cutting ties with BlackRock because of the manager’s departure from the Net-Zero Asset Managers Initiative. PME Pensioenfonds, a pension fund for the metals and technology industry which has more than 620,000 participants, said it was reconsidering the future of its 5 billion euros invested with the manager, according to a memo seen by CIO. The pension fund is among the largest in the Netherlands, with more than 280 billion euros ($294.17 billion) in assets under...

Trump’s DEI pushback targets universities, foundations and other institutional investors

The Trump administration’s pushback against diversity, equity and inclusion is now targeting universities, foundations and public companies — a new development in the movement to dismantle DEI. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Jan. 21 in which he calls for “Encouraging the Private Sector to End Illegal DEI Discrimination and Preferences.” That order mandates federal agencies determine which universities, foundations and corporations should be investigated for their DEI policies, among other things. Specifically, the order directs each agency to identify up...